Atlanta United vs Philadelphia Union Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Atlanta United v Philadelphia Union — Team-Based Signals
Atlanta United vs Philadelphia Union Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
3-2
HT 3-0
Atlanta United
ABD
2-0
HT 1-0
Philadelphia Union
ABD
0-0
HT 0-0
Philadelphia Union
ABD
Atlanta United 0-1 Philadelphia Union — Actual Match Statistics
Philadelphia Union edged past Atlanta United 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match split (38% / 23% / 38%) promised a tight game; Philadelphia Union found the edge the numbers couldn't.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.
On the day, Atlanta United had 65% of the ball to Philadelphia Union's 35%, shots finished 10-14, expected goals 1.17 to 1.79.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Philadelphia Union led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Atlanta United and 1.50 for Philadelphia Union.
What was the final score of Atlanta United vs Philadelphia Union?
Atlanta United 0-1 Philadelphia Union in the USA - Major League on 18/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Atlanta United vs Philadelphia Union?
Before kick-off our model rated a Atlanta United win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Atlanta United 38%, draw 23%, Philadelphia Union 38%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.