Atlanta United vs Philadelphia Union Prediction — Model Probabilities
Atlanta United v Philadelphia Union — Team-Based Signals
Atlanta United vs Philadelphia Union Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Atlanta United 0-1 Philadelphia Union — Actual Match Statistics
Philadelphia Union edged past Atlanta United 1-0 away from home. It stood 0-0 at the interval — everything that mattered happened after the restart.
Our pre-match lean was Atlanta United at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (59%) — went the other way, though.
By the numbers, possession split 65% to 35% in Atlanta United's favour, shots finished 10-14, expected goals 1.17 to 1.79.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Philadelphia Union led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.17 a game for Atlanta United against 1.50 for Philadelphia Union.
Atlanta United vs Philadelphia Union Result & Final Score
Atlanta United 0 - 1 Philadelphia Union in the USA - Major League on 18/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Atlanta United vs Philadelphia Union Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Atlanta United win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Atlanta United 47%, draw 24%, Philadelphia Union 29%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.