Philadelphia Union vs Atlanta United Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Philadelphia Union v Atlanta United — Team-Based Signals
Philadelphia Union vs Atlanta United Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
3-2
HT 3-0
Atlanta United
ABD
2-0
HT 1-0
Philadelphia Union
ABD
0-0
HT 0-0
Philadelphia Union
ABD
4-1
HT 2-1
Atlanta United
ABD
Philadelphia Union 3-0 Atlanta United — Actual Match Statistics
Philadelphia Union cruised past Atlanta United 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Philadelphia Union as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.
On the day, Philadelphia Union had 29% of the ball to Atlanta United's 71%, shots finished 10-12, expected goals 1.34 to 0.81.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Philadelphia Union had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Philadelphia Union and 1.33 for Atlanta United.
What was the final score of Philadelphia Union vs Atlanta United?
Philadelphia Union 3-0 Atlanta United in the USA - Major League on 20/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Philadelphia Union vs Atlanta United?
Before kick-off our model rated a Philadelphia Union win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Philadelphia Union 50%, draw 23%, Atlanta United 27%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Philadelphia Union), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.