New England Revolution 2-0 New York City FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Major League, 20 Apr 2025

📅20/04/2025 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.27
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
35%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
2.0
Over 2.5
42%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.61
No
55%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
33%
3.66
2-3 Goals
38%
1.8
4-5 Goals
21%
3.09
6+ Goals
8%
10.3
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.66 — our 33% vs market 21.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
3.45
1/2
6%
28.0
1/X
7%
12.55
X/1
15%
5.65
X/2
13%
6.27
X/X
12%
4.98
2/1
6%
25.5
2/2
15%
4.06
2/X
10%
12.7
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
40%
-3.1pp
28%
Draw
26%
+1.9pp
35%
Away Win
34%
+1.1pp
58%
Under 2.5
46%
+12.0pp
42%
Over 2.5
54%
-12.0pp
45%
BTTS Yes
58%
-12.6pp
55%
BTTS No
42%
+12.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME New England Revolution EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY New York City FC EU Bookmakers 37%
+2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -2%
1.29/1.18 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.25/1.26
-14% / +34% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -31% / +4%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
329 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 340 · 78%
23.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.2
19.6 Crosses 13.9
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME New England Revolution
0W-3D-3L
AWAY New York City FC
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
0.73 xG 1.55
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
357 Passes 395
82% Pass Accuracy 84%
19 Box Touches 29
20 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
16.03.2025 New York City FC New York City FC 2-1 HT 1-1 New England Revolution New England Revolution ABD
10.08.2024 New England Revolution New England Revolution 1-1 HT 1-1 New York City FC New York City FC CONLK
26.05.2024 New England Revolution New England Revolution 0-1 HT 0-0 New York City FC New York City FC ABD
14.04.2024 New York City FC New York City FC 2-0 HT 0-0 New England Revolution New England Revolution ABD
03.06.2023 New York City FC New York City FC 0-0 HT 0-0 New England Revolution New England Revolution ABD
02.04.2023 New England Revolution New England Revolution 1-1 HT 0-0 New York City FC New York City FC ABD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME New England Revolution
2-0
AWAY New York City FC
1.35 xG 0.89
42% Ball Possession 58%
13 Total Shots 16
6 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 4
318 Passes 430
81% Pass Accuracy 81%
31 Box Touches 35
17 Crosses 22
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH New England Revolution vs New York City FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

New England Revolution beat New York City FC 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 28% / 35% — and on the day New England Revolution made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (55%) came in.

On the day, New England Revolution had 42% of the ball to New York City FC's 58%, shots finished 13-16, expected goals 1.35 to 0.89.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, New York City FC led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for New England Revolution and 1.17 for New York City FC.

What was the final score of New England Revolution vs New York City FC?

New England Revolution 2-0 New York City FC in the USA - Major League on 20/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for New England Revolution vs New York City FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a New England Revolution win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split New England Revolution 37%, draw 28%, New York City FC 35%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (New England Revolution), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (New England Revolution) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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