New York Red Bulls 1-2 DC United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Major League, 20 Apr 2025

📅20/04/2025 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.96
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
25%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.0
Over 2.5
55%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.63
No
45%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
3.66
2-3 Goals
39%
1.8
4-5 Goals
25%
3.09
6+ Goals
15%
10.35
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
2.75
1/2
7%
34.0
1/X
6%
12.7
X/1
17%
4.94
X/2
11%
7.6
X/X
11%
5.09
2/1
8%
23.3
2/2
8%
5.36
2/X
7%
13.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
47%
+2.6pp
25%
Draw
26%
-0.7pp
25%
Away Win
27%
-1.9pp
45%
Under 2.5
46%
-0.8pp
55%
Over 2.5
54%
+0.8pp
55%
BTTS Yes
57%
-2.5pp
45%
BTTS No
43%
+2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME New York Red Bulls EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY DC United EU Bookmakers 31%
-3% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +11%
1.44/1.32 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.30/1.67
-9% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / -28%
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
394 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 294 · 77%
24.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.3
17.9 Crosses 18.0
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME New York Red Bulls
4W-2D-0L
AWAY DC United
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.79 xG 1.12
48% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
259 Passes 276
70% Pass Accuracy 70%
25 Box Touches 18
16 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 3
30.06.2024 New York Red Bulls New York Red Bulls 2-2 HT 1-2 DC United DC United ABD
16.05.2024 DC United DC United 1-4 HT 0-1 New York Red Bulls New York Red Bulls ABD
24.09.2023 DC United DC United 3-5 HT 3-3 New York Red Bulls New York Red Bulls ABD
21.08.2023 New York Red Bulls New York Red Bulls 1-0 HT 0-0 DC United DC United ABD
10.05.2023 New York Red Bulls New York Red Bulls 1-0 HT 1-0 DC United DC United ABDK
07.08.2022 DC United DC United 0-0 HT 0-0 New York Red Bulls New York Red Bulls ABD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME New York Red Bulls
1-2
AWAY DC United
1.16 xG 0.80
67% Ball Possession 33%
10 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 4
9 Corners 1
493 Passes 185
87% Pass Accuracy 66%
20 Box Touches 19
27 Crosses 6
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH New York Red Bulls vs DC United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

DC United squeezed past New York Red Bulls 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match lean was New York Red Bulls at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (55%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, New York Red Bulls had 67% of the ball to DC United's 33%, shots finished 10-12, expected goals 1.16 to 0.80.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, New York Red Bulls had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for New York Red Bulls and 1.00 for DC United.

What was the final score of New York Red Bulls vs DC United?

New York Red Bulls 1-2 DC United in the USA - Major League on 20/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for New York Red Bulls vs DC United?

Before kick-off our model rated a New York Red Bulls win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split New York Red Bulls 50%, draw 25%, DC United 25%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (New York Red Bulls) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (New York Red Bulls) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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