Seattle Sounders 3-0 Nashville SC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Major League, 20 Apr 2025

📅20/04/2025 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.8
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
29%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.75
Over 2.5
43%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.9
No
55%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
33%
2.83
2-3 Goals
40%
1.74
4-5 Goals
19%
3.79
6+ Goals
8%
16.9
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.83 — our 33% vs market 28.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
2.42
1/2
6%
35.0
1/X
6%
14.25
X/1
16%
4.29
X/2
9%
8.8
X/X
16%
4.62
2/1
7%
26.0
2/2
14%
7.28
2/X
6%
15.75
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
52%
-8.5pp
28%
Draw
27%
+1.4pp
29%
Away Win
22%
+7.1pp
57%
Under 2.5
53%
+4.2pp
43%
Over 2.5
47%
-4.2pp
45%
BTTS Yes
49%
-3.8pp
55%
BTTS No
51%
+3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Seattle Sounders EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Nashville SC EU Bookmakers 25%
+0% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +11%
1.53/1.05 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.02/1.50
-16% / +45% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -22% / +53%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
386 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 310 · 78%
27.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.7
22.1 Crosses 15.7
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Seattle Sounders
0W-1D-2L
AWAY Nashville SC
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
0.63 xG 0.88
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
411 Passes 370
84% Pass Accuracy 83%
14 Box Touches 15
22 Crosses 20
1 Yellow Cards 2
01.10.2023 Nashville SC Nashville SC 0-0 HT 0-0 Seattle Sounders Seattle Sounders ABD
14.07.2022 Nashville SC Nashville SC 1-0 HT 1-0 Seattle Sounders Seattle Sounders ABD
28.02.2022 Seattle Sounders Seattle Sounders 0-1 HT 0-0 Nashville SC Nashville SC ABD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Seattle Sounders
3-0
AWAY Nashville SC
2.38 xG 0.99
48% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 8
2 Corners 7
362 Passes 399
80% Pass Accuracy 82%
22 Box Touches 19
16 Crosses 21
4 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Seattle Sounders vs Nashville SC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Seattle Sounders swept aside Nashville SC 3-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Seattle Sounders as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (55%) landed while under 2.5 goals (57%) missed.

On the day, Seattle Sounders had 48% of the ball to Nashville SC's 52%, shots finished 14-12, expected goals 2.38 to 0.99.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Nashville SC led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Seattle Sounders and 0.67 for Nashville SC.

What was the final score of Seattle Sounders vs Nashville SC?

Seattle Sounders 3-0 Nashville SC in the USA - Major League on 20/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Seattle Sounders vs Nashville SC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Seattle Sounders win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Seattle Sounders 43%, draw 28%, Nashville SC 29%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Seattle Sounders), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Seattle Sounders) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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