Houston Dynamo 2-2 Colorado Rapids — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Major League, 20 Apr 2025

📅20/04/2025 · 🕒03:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.86
Draw
27%
3.54
Away
22%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.0
Over 2.5
51%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.68
No
49%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
26%
3.63
2-3 Goals
39%
1.8
4-5 Goals
26%
3.11
6+ Goals
9%
10.45
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.63 — our 26% vs market 21.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
2.49
1/2
6%
35.0
1/X
9%
13.4
X/1
12%
4.62
X/2
8%
8.28
X/X
12%
5.26
2/1
9%
22.9
2/2
9%
6.12
2/X
5%
14.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
50%
+0.6pp
27%
Draw
25%
+1.6pp
22%
Away Win
25%
-2.4pp
49%
Under 2.5
46%
+3.1pp
51%
Over 2.5
54%
-3.1pp
51%
BTTS Yes
56%
-4.9pp
49%
BTTS No
44%
+4.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Houston Dynamo EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Colorado Rapids EU Bookmakers 28%
+3% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +16%
1.53/1.13 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.61/1.78
-9% / +43% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +12% / -3%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
376 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 356 · 81%
28.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.2
20.3 Crosses 15.3
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Houston Dynamo
3W-3D-0L
AWAY Colorado Rapids
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.33 xG 0.95
55% Ball Possession 45%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 6
428 Passes 317
84% Pass Accuracy 82%
17 Box Touches 22
12 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
30.05.2024 Houston Dynamo Houston Dynamo 3-1 HT 1-0 Colorado Rapids Colorado Rapids ABD
24.03.2024 Colorado Rapids Colorado Rapids 0-1 HT 0-0 Houston Dynamo Houston Dynamo ABD
08.10.2023 Houston Dynamo Houston Dynamo 5-1 HT 4-0 Colorado Rapids Colorado Rapids ABD
16.07.2023 Colorado Rapids Colorado Rapids 0-0 HT 0-0 Houston Dynamo Houston Dynamo ABD
21.08.2022 Colorado Rapids Colorado Rapids 1-1 HT 0-0 Houston Dynamo Houston Dynamo ABD
20.03.2022 Houston Dynamo Houston Dynamo 1-1 HT 0-1 Colorado Rapids Colorado Rapids ABD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Houston Dynamo
2-2
AWAY Colorado Rapids
0.91 xG 2.84
63% Ball Possession 37%
14 Total Shots 13
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
519 Passes 265
87% Pass Accuracy 75%
30 Box Touches 25
20 Crosses 10
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Houston Dynamo vs Colorado Rapids
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Houston Dynamo and Colorado Rapids shared the points in a 2-2 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Houston Dynamo at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Houston Dynamo had 63% of the ball to Colorado Rapids's 37%, shots finished 14-13, expected goals 0.91 to 2.84.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Houston Dynamo had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Houston Dynamo and 0.67 for Colorado Rapids.

What was the final score of Houston Dynamo vs Colorado Rapids?

Houston Dynamo 2-2 Colorado Rapids in the USA - Major League on 20/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Houston Dynamo vs Colorado Rapids?

Before kick-off our model rated a Houston Dynamo win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Houston Dynamo 51%, draw 27%, Colorado Rapids 22%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Houston Dynamo) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Houston Dynamo) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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