CF Montreal 0-0 Orlando City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Major League, 20 Apr 2025

📅20/04/2025 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.67
Draw
27%
3.18
Away
34%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.78
Over 2.5
50%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.75
No
48%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.96
2-3 Goals
39%
1.74
4-5 Goals
22%
3.64
6+ Goals
11%
15.45
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
4.18
1/2 EV+ ✗
10%
28.5
1/X
7%
13.25
X/1
13%
6.03
X/2
12%
5.5
X/X
15%
4.44
2/1
6%
31.0
2/2
12%
3.63
2/X
5%
13.05
Value flag · 1/2 at 28.5 — our 10% vs market 1.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
34%
+5.1pp
27%
Draw
28%
-1.1pp
34%
Away Win
38%
-4.0pp
50%
Under 2.5
52%
-2.1pp
50%
Over 2.5
48%
+2.1pp
52%
BTTS Yes
53%
-0.8pp
48%
BTTS No
47%
+0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CF Montreal EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Orlando City EU Bookmakers 42%
+11% / +20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +17%
1.34/1.21 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.31/1.03
+14% / +27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% / +26%
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
301 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 365 · 80%
22.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.3
19.6 Crosses 14.8
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME CF Montreal
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Orlando City
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.13 xG 1.74
49% Ball Possession 51%
9 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 5
382 Passes 400
82% Pass Accuracy 84%
15 Box Touches 20
14 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 3
27.07.2024 Orlando City Orlando City 4-1 HT 3-0 CF Montreal CF Montreal CONLK
21.04.2024 CF Montreal CF Montreal 2-2 HT 1-1 Orlando City Orlando City ABD
25.02.2024 Orlando City Orlando City 0-0 HT 0-0 CF Montreal CF Montreal ABD
01.10.2023 Orlando City Orlando City 3-0 HT 1-0 CF Montreal CF Montreal ABD
07.05.2023 CF Montreal CF Montreal 2-0 HT 0-0 Orlando City Orlando City ABD
17.10.2022 CF Montreal CF Montreal 2-0 HT 0-0 Orlando City Orlando City ABD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME CF Montreal
0-0
AWAY Orlando City
0.89 xG 0.39
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 2
399 Passes 326
86% Pass Accuracy 80%
14 Box Touches 18
31 Crosses 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH CF Montreal vs Orlando City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CF Montreal and Orlando City played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 27% / 34% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, CF Montreal had 54% of the ball to Orlando City's 46%, shots finished 12-9, expected goals 0.89 to 0.39.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for CF Montreal and 1.50 for Orlando City.

What was the final score of CF Montreal vs Orlando City?

CF Montreal 0-0 Orlando City in the USA - Major League on 20/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CF Montreal vs Orlando City?

Before kick-off our model rated a CF Montreal win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split CF Montreal 39%, draw 27%, Orlando City 34%. The final score 0-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (CF Montreal) ✗ BTTS Yes
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