Orlando City 4-1 CF Montreal — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Concacaf League Cup, 27 Jul 2024

📅27/07/2024 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.45
Draw
25%
4.19
Away
23%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.33
Over 2.5
57%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.7
No
48%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
4.86
2-3 Goals
40%
1.94
4-5 Goals
27%
2.8
6+ Goals
11%
7.53
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
9%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
8%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
65%
-12.4pp
24%
Draw
21%
+3.7pp
23%
Away Win
15%
+8.7pp
43%
Under 2.5
39%
+3.7pp
57%
Over 2.5
61%
-3.7pp
52%
BTTS Yes
55%
-2.7pp
48%
BTTS No
45%
+2.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Orlando City EU Bookmakers 69%
Head to Head
AWAY CF Montreal EU Bookmakers 18%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
55% Ball Possession 45%
16 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
404 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 307 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Orlando City
1W-2D-3L
AWAY CF Montreal
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.13 xG 1.54
50% Ball Possession 50%
9 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
389 Passes 386
83% Pass Accuracy 82%
15 Box Touches 18
12 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 3
21.04.2024 CF Montreal CF Montreal 2-2 HT 1-1 Orlando City Orlando City ABD
25.02.2024 Orlando City Orlando City 0-0 HT 0-0 CF Montreal CF Montreal ABD
01.10.2023 Orlando City Orlando City 3-0 HT 1-0 CF Montreal CF Montreal ABD
07.05.2023 CF Montreal CF Montreal 2-0 HT 0-0 Orlando City Orlando City ABD
17.10.2022 CF Montreal CF Montreal 2-0 HT 0-0 Orlando City Orlando City ABD
07.05.2022 CF Montreal CF Montreal 4-1 HT 1-0 Orlando City Orlando City ABD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Orlando City
4-1
AWAY CF Montreal
3.29 xG 1.30
46% Ball Possession 54%
24 Total Shots 9
10 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 2
396 Passes 474
88% Pass Accuracy 87%
30 Box Touches 14
17 Crosses 10
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Orlando City vs CF Montreal
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Orlando City swept aside CF Montreal 4-1. Half-time: 3-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Orlando City as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (57%) came in.

On the day, Orlando City had 46% of the ball to CF Montreal's 54%, shots finished 24-9, expected goals 3.29 to 1.30.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, CF Montreal led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Orlando City and 1.67 for CF Montreal.

What was the final score of Orlando City vs CF Montreal?

Orlando City 4-1 CF Montreal in the Concacaf League Cup on 27/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Orlando City vs CF Montreal?

Before kick-off our model rated a Orlando City win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Orlando City 52%, draw 24%, CF Montreal 23%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Orlando City), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Orlando City) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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