Pumas UNAM vs Austin Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Pumas UNAM v Austin — Team-Based Signals
Pumas UNAM 2-3 Austin — Actual Match Statistics
Austin edged past Pumas UNAM 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 1-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Our pre-match lean was Pumas UNAM at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Pumas UNAM had 74% of the ball to Austin's 26%, shots finished 25-6, expected goals 2.71 to 0.67 — the balance of chances actually favoured Pumas UNAM.
What was the final score of Pumas UNAM vs Austin?
Pumas UNAM 2-3 Austin in the Concacaf League Cup on 27/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Pumas UNAM vs Austin?
Before kick-off our model rated a Pumas UNAM win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Pumas UNAM 41%, draw 31%, Austin 29%. The final score 2-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.