Los Angeles FC 3-0 Tijuana — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Concacaf League Cup, 27 Jul 2024

📅27/07/2024 · 🕒06:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.53
Draw
21%
3.94
Away
22%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.15
Over 2.5
57%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.73
No
49%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
4.18
2-3 Goals
35%
1.86
4-5 Goals
27%
3.03
6+ Goals
15%
9.43
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
20%
X/2
7%
X/X
8%
2/1
8%
2/2
10%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
61%
-3.8pp
21%
Draw
22%
-0.9pp
22%
Away Win
17%
+4.7pp
43%
Under 2.5
43%
+0.5pp
57%
Over 2.5
57%
-0.5pp
51%
BTTS Yes
54%
-3.0pp
49%
BTTS No
46%
+3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Los Angeles FC EU Bookmakers 65%
Head to Head
AWAY Tijuana EU Bookmakers 21%
+21% / +21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -28% / -28%
1.95/0.53 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.59/3.57
+128% / +127% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / -23%
52% Ball Possession 48%
16 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
368 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 324 · 78%
30.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.0
18.0 Crosses 6.0
2.0 Yellow Cards 0.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Los Angeles FC
3-0
AWAY Tijuana
4.40 xG 0.77
31% Ball Possession 69%
20 Total Shots 18
10 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
189 Passes 541
70% Pass Accuracy 88%
40 Box Touches 23
9 Crosses 8
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Los Angeles FC vs Tijuana
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Los Angeles FC swept aside Tijuana 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Los Angeles FC as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Los Angeles FC had 31% of the ball to Tijuana's 69%, shots finished 20-18, expected goals 4.40 to 0.77.

What was the final score of Los Angeles FC vs Tijuana?

Los Angeles FC 3-0 Tijuana in the Concacaf League Cup on 27/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Los Angeles FC vs Tijuana?

Before kick-off our model rated a Los Angeles FC win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Los Angeles FC 57%, draw 21%, Tijuana 22%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Los Angeles FC), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Los Angeles FC) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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