Atlanta United 3-3 DC United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Concacaf League Cup, 27 Jul 2024

📅27/07/2024 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
1.86
Draw
28%
3.64
Away
33%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.23
Over 2.5
53%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.55
No
47%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
4.64
2-3 Goals
39%
1.91
4-5 Goals
25%
2.86
6+ Goals
10%
8.07
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
16%
X/2
12%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
14%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
50%
-10.4pp
28%
Draw
24%
+3.6pp
33%
Away Win
26%
+6.8pp
47%
Under 2.5
41%
+6.3pp
53%
Over 2.5
59%
-6.3pp
53%
BTTS Yes
60%
-7.8pp
47%
BTTS No
40%
+7.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atlanta United EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY DC United EU Bookmakers 29%
-17% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +60% / +60%
0.89/0.46 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.76/1.21
-46% / +41% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -28% /
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
349 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 306 · 78%
32.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.0
13.0 Crosses 12.0
5.0 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Atlanta United
4W-1D-1L
AWAY DC United
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.26 xG 1.16
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
380 Passes 277
82% Pass Accuracy 77%
21 Box Touches 25
14 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 2
20.06.2024 DC United DC United 0-1 HT 0-0 Atlanta United Atlanta United ABD
12.05.2024 Atlanta United Atlanta United 2-3 HT 1-2 DC United DC United ABD
21.09.2023 DC United DC United 1-1 HT 0-1 Atlanta United Atlanta United ABD
11.06.2023 Atlanta United Atlanta United 3-1 HT 1-1 DC United DC United ABD
28.08.2022 Atlanta United Atlanta United 3-2 HT 0-0 DC United DC United ABD
03.04.2022 DC United DC United 0-1 HT 0-0 Atlanta United Atlanta United ABD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Atlanta United
3-3
AWAY DC United
1.87 xG 1.93
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 17
7 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 5
307 Passes 351
81% Pass Accuracy 82%
21 Box Touches 27
17 Crosses 15
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Atlanta United vs DC United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atlanta United and DC United shared the points in a 3-3 draw. Half-time: 2-3. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 28% / 33% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Atlanta United had 48% of the ball to DC United's 52%, shots finished 11-17, expected goals 1.87 to 1.93.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Atlanta United had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Atlanta United and 1.17 for DC United.

What was the final score of Atlanta United vs DC United?

Atlanta United 3-3 DC United in the Concacaf League Cup on 27/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atlanta United vs DC United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Atlanta United win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Atlanta United 40%, draw 28%, DC United 33%. The final score 3-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Atlanta United) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Atlanta United) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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