New York City FC vs New England Revolution Prediction — Model Probabilities
New York City FC v New England Revolution — Team-Based Signals
New York City FC vs New England Revolution Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
New York City FC 2-1 New England Revolution — Actual Match Statistics
New York City FC came out on the right side of a one-goal game with New England Revolution 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
True to our pre-match read, our model had New York City FC as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (55%) came in.
The match data tells the story: New England Revolution saw more of the ball, 54% to 46%, shots finished 10-7, expected goals 1.15 to 0.53.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, New York City FC had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 0.83 a game for New York City FC against 0.83 for New England Revolution.
New York City FC vs New England Revolution Result & Final Score
New York City FC 2 - 1 New England Revolution in the USA - Major League on 16/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
New York City FC vs New England Revolution Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a New York City FC win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split New York City FC 58%, draw 23%, New England Revolution 19%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (New York City FC), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.