Houston Dynamo 1-2 Real Salt Lake — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Major League, 16 Mar 2025

📅16/03/2025 · 🕒03:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.0
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
32%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.95
Over 2.5
50%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.68
No
51%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.39
2-3 Goals
40%
1.75
4-5 Goals
22%
3.18
6+ Goals
10%
11.3
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.39 — our 28% vs market 22.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
2.79
1/2
6%
33.5
1/X
5%
12.8
X/1
17%
4.85
X/2
13%
7.21
X/X
15%
4.88
2/1
7%
23.85
2/2
13%
5.15
2/X
6%
13.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
46%
-3.8pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.2pp
32%
Away Win
28%
+3.6pp
50%
Under 2.5
48%
+2.0pp
50%
Over 2.5
52%
-2.0pp
49%
BTTS Yes
56%
-6.4pp
51%
BTTS No
44%
+6.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Houston Dynamo EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Real Salt Lake EU Bookmakers 32%
+2% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +4%
1.51/1.25 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.61/1.96
-8% / +20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / -26%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
327 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 324 · 78%
25.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.6
19.3 Crosses 16.6
2.2 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Houston Dynamo
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Real Salt Lake
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.38 xG 1.28
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
417 Passes 308
84% Pass Accuracy 82%
25 Box Touches 17
13 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
15.09.2024 Houston Dynamo Houston Dynamo 4-1 HT 2-0 Real Salt Lake Real Salt Lake ABD
06.08.2024 Houston Dynamo Houston Dynamo 3-0 HT 3-0 Real Salt Lake Real Salt Lake CONLK
04.07.2024 Real Salt Lake Real Salt Lake 3-2 HT 2-1 Houston Dynamo Houston Dynamo ABD
12.11.2023 Houston Dynamo Houston Dynamo 1-1 HT 1-0 Real Salt Lake Real Salt Lake ABD
07.11.2023 Real Salt Lake Real Salt Lake 1-1 HT 0-1 Houston Dynamo Houston Dynamo ABD
30.10.2023 Houston Dynamo Houston Dynamo 2-1 HT 1-0 Real Salt Lake Real Salt Lake ABD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Houston Dynamo
1-2
AWAY Real Salt Lake
2.15 xG 0.94
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 5
9 Corners 6
398 Passes 369
86% Pass Accuracy 84%
50 Box Touches 15
30 Crosses 12
3 Yellow Cards 1
FAQ Houston Dynamo vs Real Salt Lake
Match summary & frequently asked questions

Real Salt Lake edged past Houston Dynamo 2-1 away from home in the USA - Major League on 16 Mar 2025.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Houston Dynamo had 52% of the ball to Real Salt Lake's 48%, shots finished 15-10, expected goals 2.15 to 0.94.

Across their last 6 meetings in our records, Houston Dynamo have the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Houston Dynamo and 1.17 for Real Salt Lake.

What was the final score of Houston Dynamo vs Real Salt Lake?

Houston Dynamo 1-2 Real Salt Lake in the USA - Major League on 16/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Houston Dynamo vs Real Salt Lake?

Before kick-off our model rated a Houston Dynamo win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Houston Dynamo 42%, draw 26%, Real Salt Lake 32%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Houston Dynamo) ✗ BTTS No
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