Houston Dynamo 4-1 Real Salt Lake — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Major League, 15 Sep 2024

📅15/09/2024 · 🕒03:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.75
Draw
28%
3.72
Away
27%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.21
Over 2.5
51%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.61
No
49%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
25%
4.38
2-3 Goals
38%
1.88
4-5 Goals
25%
2.95
6+ Goals
12%
8.79
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.38 — our 25% vs market 17.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
2.21
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
9%
14.0
X/1
15%
4.22
X/2
8%
9.13
X/X
10%
5.7
2/1
6%
21.25
2/2
13%
6.43
2/X
9%
14.55
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
53%
-8.2pp
28%
Draw
24%
+4.3pp
27%
Away Win
23%
+3.9pp
49%
Under 2.5
41%
+7.8pp
51%
Over 2.5
59%
-7.8pp
51%
BTTS Yes
58%
-7.1pp
49%
BTTS No
42%
+7.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Houston Dynamo EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Real Salt Lake EU Bookmakers 26%
-3% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +11%
1.61/0.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.37/1.73
-22% / +17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / -4%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
395 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 319 · 80%
29.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.7
18.9 Crosses 17.7
2.2 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Houston Dynamo
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Real Salt Lake
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.40 xG 1.22
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 6
388 Passes 314
82% Pass Accuracy 82%
21 Box Touches 16
13 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
06.08.2024 Houston Dynamo Houston Dynamo 3-0 HT 3-0 Real Salt Lake Real Salt Lake CONLK
04.07.2024 Real Salt Lake Real Salt Lake 3-2 HT 2-1 Houston Dynamo Houston Dynamo ABD
12.11.2023 Houston Dynamo Houston Dynamo 1-1 HT 1-0 Real Salt Lake Real Salt Lake ABD
07.11.2023 Real Salt Lake Real Salt Lake 1-1 HT 0-1 Houston Dynamo Houston Dynamo ABD
30.10.2023 Houston Dynamo Houston Dynamo 2-1 HT 1-0 Real Salt Lake Real Salt Lake ABD
27.08.2023 Real Salt Lake Real Salt Lake 0-3 HT 0-2 Houston Dynamo Houston Dynamo ABD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Houston Dynamo
4-1
AWAY Real Salt Lake
1.49 xG 0.79
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 16
8 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 3
515 Passes 361
86% Pass Accuracy 84%
39 Box Touches 21
9 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 3
FAQ Houston Dynamo vs Real Salt Lake
Match summary & frequently asked questions

Houston Dynamo ran out comfortable winners over Real Salt Lake 4-1 in the USA - Major League on 15 Sep 2024. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Houston Dynamo had 57% of the ball to Real Salt Lake's 43%, shots finished 16-16, expected goals 1.49 to 0.79.

Across their last 6 meetings in our records, Houston Dynamo have the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Houston Dynamo and 1.00 for Real Salt Lake.

What was the final score of Houston Dynamo vs Real Salt Lake?

Houston Dynamo 4-1 Real Salt Lake in the USA - Major League on 15/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Houston Dynamo vs Real Salt Lake?

Before kick-off our model rated a Houston Dynamo win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Houston Dynamo 45%, draw 28%, Real Salt Lake 27%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Houston Dynamo), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Houston Dynamo) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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