Real Salt Lake vs Houston Dynamo Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Real Salt Lake v Houston Dynamo — Team-Based Signals
Real Salt Lake vs Houston Dynamo Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-1
HT 1-0
Real Salt Lake
ABD
1-1
HT 0-1
Houston Dynamo
ABD
2-1
HT 1-0
Real Salt Lake
ABD
0-3
HT 0-2
Houston Dynamo
ABD
3-1
HT 1-0
Real Salt Lake
ABDK
0-0
HT 0-0
Real Salt Lake
ABD
Real Salt Lake 3-2 Houston Dynamo — Actual Match Statistics
Real Salt Lake edged past Houston Dynamo 3-2. Half-time: 2-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Real Salt Lake as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.
On the day, Real Salt Lake had 45% of the ball to Houston Dynamo's 55%, shots finished 17-9, expected goals 3.59 to 0.90 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Real Salt Lake's control.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Houston Dynamo led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Real Salt Lake and 1.67 for Houston Dynamo.
What was the final score of Real Salt Lake vs Houston Dynamo?
Real Salt Lake 3-2 Houston Dynamo in the USA - Major League on 04/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Real Salt Lake vs Houston Dynamo?
Before kick-off our model rated a Real Salt Lake win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Real Salt Lake 55%, draw 21%, Houston Dynamo 23%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Real Salt Lake), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.