St. Louis City 1-0 Seattle Sounders — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Major League, 16 Mar 2025

📅16/03/2025 · 🕒03:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.19
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
34%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.8
Over 2.5
50%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.75
No
47%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2.92
2-3 Goals
41%
1.72
4-5 Goals
22%
3.58
6+ Goals
11%
15.15
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
3.3
1/2 EV+ ✗
8%
32.0
1/X
8%
13.15
X/1
12%
5.11
X/2
11%
6.22
X/X
11%
4.48
2/1
6%
27.0
2/2
15%
4.47
2/X
7%
13.5
Value flag · 1/2 at 32.0 — our 8% vs market 1.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
42%
-2.0pp
26%
Draw
27%
-1.3pp
34%
Away Win
31%
+3.3pp
50%
Under 2.5
52%
-1.7pp
50%
Over 2.5
48%
+1.7pp
53%
BTTS Yes
53%
-0.4pp
47%
BTTS No
47%
+0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME St. Louis City EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Seattle Sounders EU Bookmakers 34%
+0% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +0%
1.30/1.46 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.26/1.34
+23% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / +7%
46% Ball Possession 54%
15 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
300 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 359 · 80%
23.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.5
19.5 Crosses 18.7
2.8 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME St. Louis City
0W-0D-4L
AWAY Seattle Sounders
0.25 Avg Goals (FT) 2.25
0.89 xG 1.46
42% Ball Possession 58%
14 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
265 Passes 408
75% Pass Accuracy 80%
26 Box Touches 18
21 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
18.07.2024 Seattle Sounders Seattle Sounders 2-0 HT 1-0 St. Louis City St. Louis City ABD
26.05.2024 St. Louis City St. Louis City 1-2 HT 0-0 Seattle Sounders Seattle Sounders ABD
22.10.2023 St. Louis City St. Louis City 0-2 HT 0-2 Seattle Sounders Seattle Sounders ABD
09.04.2023 Seattle Sounders Seattle Sounders 3-0 HT 0-0 St. Louis City St. Louis City ABD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME St. Louis City
1-0
AWAY Seattle Sounders
1.31 xG 0.78
35% Ball Possession 65%
14 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 7
259 Passes 539
79% Pass Accuracy 89%
16 Box Touches 29
10 Crosses 30
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH St. Louis City vs Seattle Sounders
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

St. Louis City nicked a narrow win over Seattle Sounders 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 26% / 34% — and on the day St. Louis City made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, St. Louis City had 35% of the ball to Seattle Sounders's 65%, shots finished 14-15, expected goals 1.31 to 0.78.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Seattle Sounders led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 0.25 goals for St. Louis City and 2.25 for Seattle Sounders.

What was the final score of St. Louis City vs Seattle Sounders?

St. Louis City 1-0 Seattle Sounders in the USA - Major League on 16/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for St. Louis City vs Seattle Sounders?

Before kick-off our model rated a St. Louis City win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split St. Louis City 40%, draw 26%, Seattle Sounders 34%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (St. Louis City) — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (St. Louis City) ✗ BTTS Yes
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