St. Louis City 1-2 Seattle Sounders — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Major League, 26 May 2024

📅26/05/2024 · 🕒03:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
2.18
Draw
25%
3.18
Away
29%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.91
Over 2.5
47%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.66
No
53%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
3.51
2-3 Goals
40%
1.8
4-5 Goals
20%
3.4
6+ Goals
9%
12.75
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.51 — our 31% vs market 23.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
3.08
1/2
9%
32.5
1/X
8%
12.3
X/1
15%
5.04
X/2
8%
6.67
X/X
7%
4.54
2/1
10%
26.0
2/2
13%
4.59
2/X
9%
12.55
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
42%
+4.2pp
25%
Draw
28%
-3.4pp
29%
Away Win
30%
-0.7pp
53%
Under 2.5
48%
+4.3pp
47%
Over 2.5
52%
-4.3pp
47%
BTTS Yes
56%
-8.9pp
53%
BTTS No
44%
+8.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME St. Louis City EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Seattle Sounders EU Bookmakers 33%
+7% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +0%
1.30/1.33 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.26/1.35
+31% / +18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / +2%
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
380 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 363 · 81%
23.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.4
19.4 Crosses 19.0
2.8 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME St. Louis City
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Seattle Sounders
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
0.65 xG 1.46
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 8
262 Passes 350
72% Pass Accuracy 77%
20 Box Touches 22
20 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 4
22.10.2023 St. Louis City St. Louis City 0-2 HT 0-2 Seattle Sounders Seattle Sounders ABD
09.04.2023 Seattle Sounders Seattle Sounders 3-0 HT 0-0 St. Louis City St. Louis City ABD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME St. Louis City
1-2
AWAY Seattle Sounders
1.50 xG 1.25
47% Ball Possession 53%
22 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 1
339 Passes 407
81% Pass Accuracy 81%
42 Box Touches 8
33 Crosses 6
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH St. Louis City vs Seattle Sounders
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Seattle Sounders edged past St. Louis City 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was St. Louis City at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, St. Louis City had 47% of the ball to Seattle Sounders's 53%, shots finished 22-7, expected goals 1.50 to 1.25.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Seattle Sounders led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for St. Louis City and 2.50 for Seattle Sounders.

What was the final score of St. Louis City vs Seattle Sounders?

St. Louis City 1-2 Seattle Sounders in the USA - Major League on 26/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for St. Louis City vs Seattle Sounders?

Before kick-off our model rated a St. Louis City win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split St. Louis City 46%, draw 25%, Seattle Sounders 29%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (St. Louis City) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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