FC Dallas 0-1 Vancouver Whitecaps — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Major League, 16 Mar 2025

📅16/03/2025 · 🕒03:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.19
Draw
29%
3.35
Away
37%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.03
Over 2.5
49%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.61
No
45%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.63
2-3 Goals
37%
1.78
4-5 Goals
26%
3.03
6+ Goals
11%
10.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
3.24
1/2
6%
28.0
1/X
8%
12.6
X/1
9%
5.38
X/2
15%
6.3
X/X
12%
5.04
2/1
6%
24.7
2/2
16%
4.15
2/X
9%
12.9
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
41%
-7.6pp
29%
Draw
26%
+2.9pp
37%
Away Win
33%
+4.8pp
51%
Under 2.5
45%
+5.3pp
49%
Over 2.5
55%
-5.3pp
55%
BTTS Yes
58%
-3.3pp
45%
BTTS No
42%
+3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Dallas EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Vancouver Whitecaps EU Bookmakers 37%
+4% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +29%
1.42/1.10 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.48/1.14
+4% / +16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +36% / +11%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
358 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 320 · 78%
25.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.3
16.3 Crosses 19.3
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Dallas
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Vancouver Whitecaps
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.07 xG 1.03
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
444 Passes 325
85% Pass Accuracy 79%
20 Box Touches 21
19 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
08.09.2024 Vancouver Whitecaps Vancouver Whitecaps 0-0 HT 0-0 FC Dallas FC Dallas ABD
17.03.2024 FC Dallas FC Dallas 1-3 HT 1-3 Vancouver Whitecaps Vancouver Whitecaps ABD
18.05.2023 FC Dallas FC Dallas 2-1 HT 1-1 Vancouver Whitecaps Vancouver Whitecaps ABD
12.03.2023 Vancouver Whitecaps Vancouver Whitecaps 1-1 HT 1-1 FC Dallas FC Dallas ABD
19.06.2022 FC Dallas FC Dallas 0-2 HT 0-2 Vancouver Whitecaps Vancouver Whitecaps ABD
19.05.2022 Vancouver Whitecaps Vancouver Whitecaps 2-1 HT 0-1 FC Dallas FC Dallas ABD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FC Dallas
0-1
AWAY Vancouver Whitecaps
0.24 xG 0.84
43% Ball Possession 57%
6 Total Shots 8
0 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 8
318 Passes 461
77% Pass Accuracy 86%
18 Box Touches 34
14 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH FC Dallas vs Vancouver Whitecaps
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vancouver Whitecaps squeezed past FC Dallas 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (34% / 29% / 37%) promised a tight game; Vancouver Whitecaps found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, FC Dallas had 43% of the ball to Vancouver Whitecaps's 57%, shots finished 6-8, expected goals 0.24 to 0.84.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Vancouver Whitecaps led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for FC Dallas and 1.50 for Vancouver Whitecaps.

What was the final score of FC Dallas vs Vancouver Whitecaps?

FC Dallas 0-1 Vancouver Whitecaps in the USA - Major League on 16/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Dallas vs Vancouver Whitecaps?

Before kick-off our model rated an Vancouver Whitecaps win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split FC Dallas 34%, draw 29%, Vancouver Whitecaps 37%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Vancouver Whitecaps), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Vancouver Whitecaps) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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