Charlotte 2-0 FC Cincinnati — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Major League, 16 Mar 2025

📅16/03/2025 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.12
Draw
24%
3.28
Away
31%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.03
Over 2.5
49%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.61
No
51%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
3.65
2-3 Goals
39%
1.78
4-5 Goals
23%
3.02
6+ Goals
11%
9.98
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.65 — our 27% vs market 20.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
3.04
1/2
5%
30.0
1/X
8%
12.05
X/1
9%
5.27
X/2
14%
6.84
X/X
7%
4.88
2/1
9%
24.3
2/2
11%
4.57
2/X
8%
12.55
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
43%
+2.5pp
24%
Draw
27%
-3.2pp
31%
Away Win
30%
+0.7pp
51%
Under 2.5
45%
+5.6pp
49%
Over 2.5
55%
-5.6pp
49%
BTTS Yes
58%
-8.6pp
51%
BTTS No
42%
+8.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Charlotte EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Cincinnati EU Bookmakers 34%
-5% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +18% / +25%
1.15/1.14 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.42/1.68
-32% / +33% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +22% / -13%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
344 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 336 · 80%
21.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.7
20.2 Crosses 11.0
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Charlotte
2W-2D-2L
AWAY FC Cincinnati
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.27 xG 1.88
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
369 Passes 320
81% Pass Accuracy 79%
21 Box Touches 28
22 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 2
14.07.2024 FC Cincinnati FC Cincinnati 1-3 HT 1-2 Charlotte Charlotte ABD
31.03.2024 Charlotte Charlotte 1-1 HT 0-0 FC Cincinnati FC Cincinnati ABD
24.09.2023 FC Cincinnati FC Cincinnati 3-0 HT 1-0 Charlotte Charlotte ABD
09.07.2023 Charlotte Charlotte 2-2 HT 2-0 FC Cincinnati FC Cincinnati ABD
04.09.2022 FC Cincinnati FC Cincinnati 2-0 HT 1-0 Charlotte Charlotte ABD
27.03.2022 Charlotte Charlotte 2-0 HT 1-0 FC Cincinnati FC Cincinnati ABD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Charlotte
2-0
AWAY FC Cincinnati
1.48 xG 0.86
49% Ball Possession 51%
15 Total Shots 17
5 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 6
389 Passes 428
86% Pass Accuracy 89%
31 Box Touches 19
15 Crosses 11
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Charlotte vs FC Cincinnati
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Charlotte saw off FC Cincinnati 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Charlotte as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Charlotte had 49% of the ball to FC Cincinnati's 51%, shots finished 15-17, expected goals 1.48 to 0.86.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Charlotte and 1.50 for FC Cincinnati.

What was the final score of Charlotte vs FC Cincinnati?

Charlotte 2-0 FC Cincinnati in the USA - Major League on 16/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Charlotte vs FC Cincinnati?

Before kick-off our model rated a Charlotte win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Charlotte 46%, draw 24%, FC Cincinnati 31%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Charlotte), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Charlotte) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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