Seattle Sounders 2-0 St. Louis City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Major League, 18 Jul 2024

📅18/07/2024 · 🕒05:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.61
Draw
22%
3.8
Away
26%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.18
Over 2.5
56%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.68
No
46%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
4.31
2-3 Goals
38%
1.88
4-5 Goals
24%
2.98
6+ Goals
14%
9.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
26%
X/2
9%
X/X
8%
2/1
7%
2/2
12%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
58%
-5.6pp
22%
Draw
23%
-0.9pp
26%
Away Win
19%
+6.4pp
44%
Under 2.5
42%
+2.1pp
56%
Over 2.5
58%
-2.1pp
54%
BTTS Yes
56%
-2.0pp
46%
BTTS No
44%
+2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Seattle Sounders EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY St. Louis City EU Bookmakers 22%
-2% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +3%
1.82/0.95 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.20/1.78
-14% / +28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +39% / -14%
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
392 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 305 · 77%
28.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.7
23.2 Crosses 16.6
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Seattle Sounders
3W-0D-0L
AWAY St. Louis City
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
1.39 xG 0.93
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
369 Passes 287
78% Pass Accuracy 75%
18 Box Touches 27
13 Crosses 24
3 Yellow Cards 2
26.05.2024 St. Louis City St. Louis City 1-2 HT 0-0 Seattle Sounders Seattle Sounders ABD
22.10.2023 St. Louis City St. Louis City 0-2 HT 0-2 Seattle Sounders Seattle Sounders ABD
09.04.2023 Seattle Sounders Seattle Sounders 3-0 HT 0-0 St. Louis City St. Louis City ABD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Seattle Sounders
2-0
AWAY St. Louis City
1.67 xG 0.76
69% Ball Possession 31%
11 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 2
9 Corners 5
526 Passes 197
85% Pass Accuracy 73%
18 Box Touches 20
18 Crosses 11
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Seattle Sounders vs St. Louis City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Seattle Sounders beat St. Louis City 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Seattle Sounders as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Seattle Sounders had 69% of the ball to St. Louis City's 31%, shots finished 11-10, expected goals 1.67 to 0.76.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Seattle Sounders had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Seattle Sounders and 0.33 for St. Louis City.

What was the final score of Seattle Sounders vs St. Louis City?

Seattle Sounders 2-0 St. Louis City in the USA - Major League on 18/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Seattle Sounders vs St. Louis City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Seattle Sounders win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Seattle Sounders 52%, draw 22%, St. Louis City 26%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Seattle Sounders) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Seattle Sounders) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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