New England Revolution 1-1 New York City FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Concacaf League Cup, 10 Aug 2024

📅10/08/2024 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
3.32
Draw
24%
3.35
Away
41%
1.96
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.86
Over 2.5
47%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.75
No
54%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
25%
3.28
2-3 Goals
45%
1.78
4-5 Goals
22%
3.58
6+ Goals
8%
14.4
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.28 — our 25% vs market 24.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
11%
X/2
17%
X/X
14%
2/1
5%
2/2
20%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
27%
+7.9pp
24%
Draw
26%
-2.4pp
41%
Away Win
47%
-5.6pp
53%
Under 2.5
50%
+3.2pp
47%
Over 2.5
50%
-3.2pp
46%
BTTS Yes
53%
-6.6pp
54%
BTTS No
47%
+6.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME New England Revolution EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY New York City FC EU Bookmakers 51%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
43% Ball Possession 57%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
276 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 375 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME New England Revolution
1W-2D-3L
AWAY New York City FC
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.75 xG 2.35
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 17
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 7
331 Passes 440
80% Pass Accuracy 85%
18 Box Touches 30
16 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
26.05.2024 New England Revolution New England Revolution 0-1 HT 0-0 New York City FC New York City FC ABD
14.04.2024 New York City FC New York City FC 2-0 HT 0-0 New England Revolution New England Revolution ABD
03.06.2023 New York City FC New York City FC 0-0 HT 0-0 New England Revolution New England Revolution ABD
02.04.2023 New England Revolution New England Revolution 1-1 HT 0-0 New York City FC New York City FC ABD
05.09.2022 New England Revolution New England Revolution 3-0 HT 2-0 New York City FC New York City FC ABD
09.07.2022 New York City FC New York City FC 4-2 HT 2-1 New England Revolution New England Revolution ABD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME New England Revolution
1-1
AWAY New York City FC
1.42 xG 1.80
43% Ball Possession 57%
7 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 1
323 Passes 476
82% Pass Accuracy 88%
15 Box Touches 34
15 Crosses 7
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH New England Revolution vs New York City FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

New England Revolution and New York City FC couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was New York City FC at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, New England Revolution had 43% of the ball to New York City FC's 57%, shots finished 7-13, expected goals 1.42 to 1.80.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, New York City FC led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for New England Revolution and 1.33 for New York City FC.

What was the final score of New England Revolution vs New York City FC?

New England Revolution 1-1 New York City FC in the Concacaf League Cup on 10/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for New England Revolution vs New York City FC?

Before kick-off our model rated an New York City FC win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split New England Revolution 35%, draw 24%, New York City FC 41%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (New York City FC), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (New York City FC) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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