Philadelphia Union 2-0 CF Montreal — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Concacaf League Cup, 10 Aug 2024

📅10/08/2024 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.64
Draw
24%
3.8
Away
25%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.51
Over 2.5
58%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.53
No
47%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
5.38
2-3 Goals
39%
1.99
4-5 Goals
27%
2.68
6+ Goals
12%
6.59
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
17%
X/2
8%
X/X
10%
2/1
9%
2/2
11%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
56%
-5.0pp
24%
Draw
23%
+1.0pp
25%
Away Win
21%
+4.0pp
42%
Under 2.5
36%
+5.6pp
58%
Over 2.5
64%
-5.6pp
53%
BTTS Yes
61%
-8.1pp
47%
BTTS No
39%
+8.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Philadelphia Union EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY CF Montreal EU Bookmakers 24%
+16% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-15% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
369 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 340 · 80%
29.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
18.1 Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Philadelphia Union
2W-2D-2L
AWAY CF Montreal
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.47 xG 1.24
46% Ball Possession 55%
13 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
289 Passes 382
75% Pass Accuracy 80%
18 Box Touches 16
15 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 3
30.06.2024 CF Montreal CF Montreal 4-2 HT 1-2 Philadelphia Union Philadelphia Union ABD
02.06.2024 Philadelphia Union Philadelphia Union 2-2 HT 0-1 CF Montreal CF Montreal ABD
04.06.2023 Philadelphia Union Philadelphia Union 3-0 HT 2-0 CF Montreal CF Montreal ABD
19.03.2023 CF Montreal CF Montreal 3-2 HT 1-0 Philadelphia Union Philadelphia Union ABD
23.04.2022 Philadelphia Union Philadelphia Union 1-1 HT 1-0 CF Montreal CF Montreal ABD
06.03.2022 CF Montreal CF Montreal 1-2 HT 1-0 Philadelphia Union Philadelphia Union ABD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Philadelphia Union
2-0
AWAY CF Montreal
2.35 xG 0.51
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 2
341 Passes 436
80% Pass Accuracy 85%
15 Box Touches 8
13 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Philadelphia Union vs CF Montreal
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Philadelphia Union got the better of CF Montreal 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Philadelphia Union as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Philadelphia Union had 46% of the ball to CF Montreal's 54%, shots finished 12-8, expected goals 2.35 to 0.51.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Philadelphia Union and 1.83 for CF Montreal.

What was the final score of Philadelphia Union vs CF Montreal?

Philadelphia Union 2-0 CF Montreal in the Concacaf League Cup on 10/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Philadelphia Union vs CF Montreal?

Before kick-off our model rated a Philadelphia Union win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Philadelphia Union 52%, draw 24%, CF Montreal 25%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Philadelphia Union) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Philadelphia Union) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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