DC United 1-2 Mazatlan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Concacaf League Cup, 10 Aug 2024

DC United
1-2 HT 0-2
Mazatlan
📅10/08/2024 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✓ 2nd Score 3-1 ✗
Concacaf League Cup – 2024

DC United vs Mazatlan Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.66
Draw
23%
3.64
Away
24%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.21
Over 2.5
52%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.61
No
48%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
4.55
2-3 Goals
42%
1.9
4-5 Goals
25%
2.89
6+ Goals
11%
8.3
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
36%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
10%
X/2
10%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
8%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
56%
-2.8pp
23%
Draw
24%
-1.4pp
24%
Away Win
20%
+4.2pp
48%
Under 2.5
41%
+6.3pp
52%
Over 2.5
59%
-6.3pp
52%
BTTS Yes
58%
-6.2pp
48%
BTTS No
42%
+6.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

DC United v Mazatlan — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME DC United EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Mazatlan EU Bookmakers 23%
-62% / -62% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +58% / +58%
0.66/1.46 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.05/0.35
-100% / -64% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +66% / –
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
378 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 297 · 77%
17.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.0
16.0 Crosses 10.0
2.0 Yellow Cards 5.0

DC United 1-2 Mazatlan — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME DC United
1-2
AWAY Mazatlan
0.58 xG 1.00
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 15
2 Shots on Target 14
6 Corners 8
242 Passes 336
74% Pass Accuracy 82%
13 Box Touches 13
14 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH DC United vs Mazatlan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mazatlan edged past DC United 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match lean was DC United at 53%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, DC United had 44% of the ball to Mazatlan's 56%, shots finished 10-15, expected goals 0.58 to 1.00.

What was the final score of DC United vs Mazatlan?

DC United 1-2 Mazatlan in the Concacaf League Cup on 10/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for DC United vs Mazatlan?

Before kick-off our model rated a DC United win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split DC United 53%, draw 23%, Mazatlan 24%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (DC United) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (DC United) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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