Orlando City 0-0 Cruz Azul — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Concacaf League Cup, 10 Aug 2024

📅10/08/2024 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.67
Draw
22%
3.28
Away
42%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.95
Over 2.5
49%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.63
No
52%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
29%
3.6
2-3 Goals
42%
1.81
4-5 Goals
22%
3.34
6+ Goals
7%
12.15
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.6 — our 29% vs market 22.5%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
4.12
1/2
11%
26.0
1/X
6%
12.7
X/1
8%
6.15
X/2
17%
5.26
X/X
7%
4.7
2/1
7%
30.0
2/2
15%
3.3
2/X
9%
12.55
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
33%
+2.3pp
22%
Draw
26%
-4.4pp
42%
Away Win
40%
+2.2pp
51%
Under 2.5
48%
+3.4pp
49%
Over 2.5
52%
-3.4pp
48%
BTTS Yes
57%
-8.8pp
52%
BTTS No
43%
+8.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Orlando City EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Cruz Azul EU Bookmakers 45%
-51% / -51% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -6%
0.65/0.56 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.24/0.47
-100% / +73% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -66% / +150%
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
340 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 331 · 79%
13.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.0
18.0 Crosses 14.0
3.0 Yellow Cards 3.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Orlando City
0-0
AWAY Cruz Azul
1.26 xG 0.46
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 0
305 Passes 396
81% Pass Accuracy 84%
24 Box Touches 12
17 Crosses 9
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Orlando City vs Cruz Azul
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Orlando City and Cruz Azul played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Cruz Azul at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Orlando City had 45% of the ball to Cruz Azul's 55%, shots finished 12-14, expected goals 1.26 to 0.46.

What was the final score of Orlando City vs Cruz Azul?

Orlando City 0-0 Cruz Azul in the Concacaf League Cup on 10/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Orlando City vs Cruz Azul?

Before kick-off our model rated an Cruz Azul win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Orlando City 36%, draw 22%, Cruz Azul 42%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Cruz Azul) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Cruz Azul) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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