Toluca vs Houston Dynamo Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Toluca v Houston Dynamo — Team-Based Signals
Toluca 2-2 Houston Dynamo — Actual Match Statistics
Toluca and Houston Dynamo shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 1-1.
Our pre-match lean was Toluca at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.
On the day, Toluca had 49% of the ball to Houston Dynamo's 51%, shots finished 8-14, expected goals 0.78 to 1.86.
What was the final score of Toluca vs Houston Dynamo?
Toluca 2-2 Houston Dynamo in the Concacaf League Cup on 10/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Toluca vs Houston Dynamo?
Before kick-off our model rated a Toluca win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Toluca 41%, draw 26%, Houston Dynamo 33%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.