FC Cincinnati 1-1 Santos Laguna — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Concacaf League Cup, 10 Aug 2024

📅10/08/2024 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.43
Draw
23%
4.19
Away
24%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.23
Over 2.5
50%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.76
No
50%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
4.6
2-3 Goals
39%
1.9
4-5 Goals
21%
2.87
6+ Goals
12%
8.14
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.6 — our 28% vs market 16.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
9%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
6%
X/X
11%
2/1
12%
2/2
9%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
65%
-12.1pp
23%
Draw
20%
+2.4pp
24%
Away Win
14%
+9.7pp
50%
Under 2.5
41%
+9.2pp
50%
Over 2.5
59%
-9.2pp
50%
BTTS Yes
53%
-3.0pp
50%
BTTS No
47%
+3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Cincinnati EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Santos Laguna EU Bookmakers 17%
+7% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +26% / +26%
2.72/0.33 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.28/0.42
-56% / +149% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% /
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
346 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 307 · 77%
35.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.0
19.0 Crosses 15.0
2.0 Yellow Cards 4.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FC Cincinnati
1-1
AWAY Santos Laguna
2.92 xG 0.78
60% Ball Possession 40%
19 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 1
366 Passes 235
81% Pass Accuracy 77%
35 Box Touches 6
13 Crosses 9
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH FC Cincinnati vs Santos Laguna
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Cincinnati and Santos Laguna couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was FC Cincinnati at 53%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, FC Cincinnati had 60% of the ball to Santos Laguna's 40%, shots finished 19-8, expected goals 2.92 to 0.78.

What was the final score of FC Cincinnati vs Santos Laguna?

FC Cincinnati 1-1 Santos Laguna in the Concacaf League Cup on 10/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Cincinnati vs Santos Laguna?

Before kick-off our model rated a FC Cincinnati win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split FC Cincinnati 53%, draw 23%, Santos Laguna 24%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (FC Cincinnati)
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