Austin vs Houston Dynamo Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Austin v Houston Dynamo — Team-Based Signals
Austin vs Houston Dynamo Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
3-0
HT 2-0
Houston Dynamo
ABD
2-1
HT 1-1
Austin
ABD
Austin 3-1 Houston Dynamo — Actual Match Statistics
Austin got the better of Houston Dynamo 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Austin as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.
On the day, Austin had 33% of the ball to Houston Dynamo's 67%, shots finished 10-20, expected goals 2.12 to 1.20.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Austin and 0.83 for Houston Dynamo.
What was the final score of Austin vs Houston Dynamo?
Austin 3-1 Houston Dynamo in the USA - Open Cup on 22/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Austin vs Houston Dynamo?
Before kick-off our model rated a Austin win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Austin 42%, draw 27%, Houston Dynamo 32%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Austin), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.