Philadelphia Union vs Pittsburgh Riverhounds Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Philadelphia Union v Pittsburgh Riverhounds — Team-Based Signals
Philadelphia Union 4-1 Pittsburgh Riverhounds — Actual Match Statistics
Philadelphia Union ran out comfortable winners over Pittsburgh Riverhounds 4-1. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As we said in the preview, our model had Philadelphia Union as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.
On the day, Philadelphia Union had 60% of the ball to Pittsburgh Riverhounds's 40%, shots finished 15-7, expected goals 2.93 to 0.19.
What was the final score of Philadelphia Union vs Pittsburgh Riverhounds?
Philadelphia Union 4-1 Pittsburgh Riverhounds in the USA - Open Cup on 22/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Philadelphia Union vs Pittsburgh Riverhounds?
Before kick-off our model rated a Philadelphia Union win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Philadelphia Union 55%, draw 27%, Pittsburgh Riverhounds 19%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Philadelphia Union), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.