New York Red Bulls 2-2 FC Dallas — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Open Cup, 22 May 2025

📅22/05/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
2.18
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
27%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.86
Over 2.5
51%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.7
No
47%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.2
2-3 Goals
42%
1.76
4-5 Goals
23%
3.41
6+ Goals
11%
13.15
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
17%
X/2
10%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
12%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS Yes ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
42%
+3.5pp
27%
Draw
27%
-0.4pp
28%
Away Win
31%
-3.1pp
49%
Under 2.5
50%
-1.4pp
51%
Over 2.5
50%
+1.4pp
53%
BTTS Yes
55%
-1.8pp
47%
BTTS No
45%
+1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME New York Red Bulls EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Dallas EU Bookmakers 34%
+46% / +46% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -32% / -32%
1.43/0.37 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.05/1.13
+99% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -37% / -25%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
327 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 301 · 76%
21.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.5
10.4 Crosses 15.8
3.4 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME New York Red Bulls
4W-2D-0L
AWAY FC Dallas
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.40 xG 1.15
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
333 Passes 362
77% Pass Accuracy 78%
23 Box Touches 23
14 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 1
10.03.2024 New York Red Bulls New York Red Bulls 2-1 HT 1-0 FC Dallas FC Dallas ABD
17.04.2022 New York Red Bulls New York Red Bulls 0-0 HT 0-0 FC Dallas FC Dallas ABD
11.05.2019 FC Dallas FC Dallas 1-3 HT 1-1 New York Red Bulls New York Red Bulls ABD
24.06.2018 New York Red Bulls New York Red Bulls 3-0 HT 2-0 FC Dallas FC Dallas ABD
03.09.2017 FC Dallas FC Dallas 2-2 HT 0-1 New York Red Bulls New York Red Bulls ABD
30.04.2016 New York Red Bulls New York Red Bulls 4-0 HT 1-0 FC Dallas FC Dallas ABD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME New York Red Bulls
2-2
AWAY FC Dallas
61% Ball Possession 39%
19 Total Shots 6
3 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
637 Passes 357
86% Pass Accuracy 75%
POST-MATCH New York Red Bulls vs FC Dallas
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

New York Red Bulls and FC Dallas couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was New York Red Bulls at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, New York Red Bulls had 61% of the ball to FC Dallas's 39%, shots finished 19-6.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, New York Red Bulls had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for New York Red Bulls and 0.67 for FC Dallas.

What was the final score of New York Red Bulls vs FC Dallas?

New York Red Bulls 2-2 FC Dallas in the USA - Open Cup on 22/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for New York Red Bulls vs FC Dallas?

Before kick-off our model rated a New York Red Bulls win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split New York Red Bulls 46%, draw 27%, FC Dallas 28%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (New York Red Bulls) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (New York Red Bulls) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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