Charlotte vs DC United Prediction — Model Probabilities
Charlotte v DC United — Team-Based Signals
Charlotte vs DC United Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings
Charlotte 1-0 DC United — Actual Match Statistics
Charlotte squeezed past DC United 1-0.
As we said in the preview, our model had Charlotte as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The one blemish: over 2.5 goals (62%), both teams to score (60%) never looked like landing.
Under the surface, Charlotte had 48% of the ball to DC United's 52%, shots finished 14-6, expected goals 1.69 to 0.25 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Charlotte's control.
For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, DC United led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.75 goals for Charlotte and 1.50 for DC United.
Charlotte vs DC United Result & Final Score
Charlotte 1 - 0 DC United in the USA - Major League on 16/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Charlotte vs DC United Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Charlotte win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Charlotte 54%, draw 23%, DC United 24%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Charlotte) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.