Charlotte 1-0 DC United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Major League, 16 Jun 2024

📅16/06/2024 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.76
Draw
27%
3.8
Away
30%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.38
Over 2.5
47%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.5
No
54%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
28%
5.04
2-3 Goals
39%
1.96
4-5 Goals
22%
2.75
6+ Goals
11%
7.19
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 5.04 — our 28% vs market 15.2%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
2.32
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
5%
13.8
X/1
14%
4.44
X/2
9%
8.39
X/X
14%
6.09
2/1
8%
20.4
2/2
15%
5.55
2/X
8%
14.1
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
52%
-9.6pp
27%
Draw
23%
+4.4pp
30%
Away Win
25%
+5.2pp
53%
Under 2.5
38%
+14.5pp
47%
Over 2.5
62%
-14.5pp
46%
BTTS Yes
62%
-16.6pp
54%
BTTS No
38%
+16.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Charlotte EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY DC United EU Bookmakers 29%
+1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -6%
1.26/1.13 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.15/1.42
-36% / +28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / -15%
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
355 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 265 · 73%
23.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.7
23.2 Crosses 16.3
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Charlotte
1W-1D-2L
AWAY DC United
0.75 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.21 xG 1.30
57% Ball Possession 42%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
372 Passes 262
80% Pass Accuracy 74%
23 Box Touches 21
24 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 2
17.09.2023 Charlotte Charlotte 0-0 HT 0-0 DC United DC United ABD
30.04.2023 DC United DC United 3-0 HT 1-0 Charlotte Charlotte ABD
04.08.2022 Charlotte Charlotte 3-0 HT 1-0 DC United DC United ABD
27.02.2022 DC United DC United 3-0 HT 2-0 Charlotte Charlotte ABD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Charlotte
1-0
AWAY DC United
1.69 xG 0.25
48% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 6
2 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 5
347 Passes 380
82% Pass Accuracy 82%
26 Box Touches 13
11 Crosses 22
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Charlotte vs DC United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Charlotte squeezed past DC United 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Charlotte as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Charlotte had 48% of the ball to DC United's 52%, shots finished 14-6, expected goals 1.69 to 0.25 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Charlotte's control.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, DC United led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.75 goals for Charlotte and 1.50 for DC United.

What was the final score of Charlotte vs DC United?

Charlotte 1-0 DC United in the USA - Major League on 16/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Charlotte vs DC United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Charlotte win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Charlotte 43%, draw 27%, DC United 30%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Charlotte), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Charlotte) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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