New York Red Bulls 0-0 Nashville SC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Major League, 16 Jun 2024

📅16/06/2024 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.82
Draw
24%
3.45
Away
22%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.78
Over 2.5
47%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.85
No
53%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
29%
3.02
2-3 Goals
40%
1.78
4-5 Goals
21%
3.87
6+ Goals
10%
17.05
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.02 — our 29% vs market 27.4%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
2.47
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
7%
14.55
X/1
18%
4.07
X/2
9%
8.09
X/X
13%
4.65
2/1
6%
25.5
2/2
7%
6.41
2/X
5%
15.2
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
51%
+2.7pp
24%
Draw
26%
-1.2pp
22%
Away Win
24%
-1.6pp
53%
Under 2.5
52%
+0.4pp
47%
Over 2.5
48%
-0.4pp
47%
BTTS Yes
50%
-3.1pp
53%
BTTS No
50%
+3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME New York Red Bulls EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Nashville SC EU Bookmakers 27%
-5% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -7%
1.25/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.08/1.15
-8% / +17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -34% / +40%
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
381 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 295 · 76%
24.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.9
18.0 Crosses 17.2
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME New York Red Bulls
2W-3D-0L
AWAY Nashville SC
0.80 Avg Goals (FT) 0.20
1.18 xG 0.44
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 3
286 Passes 264
71% Pass Accuracy 68%
24 Box Touches 17
15 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 2
26.02.2024 Nashville SC Nashville SC 0-0 HT 0-0 New York Red Bulls New York Red Bulls ABD
22.10.2023 Nashville SC Nashville SC 0-1 HT 0-0 New York Red Bulls New York Red Bulls ABD
05.03.2023 New York Red Bulls New York Red Bulls 0-0 HT 0-0 Nashville SC Nashville SC ABD
07.11.2021 Nashville SC Nashville SC 1-1 HT 1-1 New York Red Bulls New York Red Bulls ABD
19.06.2021 New York Red Bulls New York Red Bulls 2-0 HT 1-0 Nashville SC Nashville SC ABD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME New York Red Bulls
0-0
AWAY Nashville SC
1.99 xG 0.33
49% Ball Possession 51%
21 Total Shots 6
7 Shots on Target 0
8 Corners 2
302 Passes 326
78% Pass Accuracy 78%
29 Box Touches 11
23 Crosses 9
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH New York Red Bulls vs Nashville SC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

New York Red Bulls and Nashville SC played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was New York Red Bulls at 54%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, New York Red Bulls had 49% of the ball to Nashville SC's 51%, shots finished 21-6, expected goals 1.99 to 0.33.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, New York Red Bulls had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.80 goals for New York Red Bulls and 0.20 for Nashville SC.

What was the final score of New York Red Bulls vs Nashville SC?

New York Red Bulls 0-0 Nashville SC in the USA - Major League on 16/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for New York Red Bulls vs Nashville SC?

Before kick-off our model rated a New York Red Bulls win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split New York Red Bulls 54%, draw 24%, Nashville SC 22%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (New York Red Bulls) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (New York Red Bulls) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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