Orlando City 1-3 Los Angeles FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Major League, 16 Jun 2024

📅16/06/2024 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.46
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
38%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.0
Over 2.5
47%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.61
No
53%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.73
2-3 Goals
39%
1.82
4-5 Goals
22%
3.26
6+ Goals
9%
11.4
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.73 — our 30% vs market 21.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
3.68
1/2
7%
27.0
1/X
6%
12.8
X/1
12%
5.68
X/2
10%
5.58
X/X
12%
4.87
2/1
6%
27.5
2/2
22%
3.58
2/X
8%
12.8
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
37%
-1.9pp
27%
Draw
26%
+0.3pp
38%
Away Win
37%
+1.6pp
53%
Under 2.5
46%
+6.7pp
47%
Over 2.5
54%
-6.7pp
47%
BTTS Yes
58%
-10.9pp
53%
BTTS No
42%
+10.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Orlando City EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Los Angeles FC EU Bookmakers 40%
-1% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -2%
1.33/1.49 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.41/1.44
-7% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / +10%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
339 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 356 · 81%
20.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.3
16.6 Crosses 14.9
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Orlando City
0W-2D-2L
AWAY Los Angeles FC
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.75
1.61 xG 2.50
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 5
308 Passes 380
77% Pass Accuracy 81%
24 Box Touches 25
15 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 2
03.04.2022 Orlando City Orlando City 2-4 HT 2-2 Los Angeles FC Los Angeles FC ABD
01.08.2020 Orlando City Orlando City 1-1 HT 0-0 Los Angeles FC Los Angeles FC ABD
08.09.2019 Orlando City Orlando City 2-2 HT 2-1 Los Angeles FC Los Angeles FC ABD
08.07.2018 Los Angeles FC Los Angeles FC 4-1 HT 2-0 Orlando City Orlando City ABD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Orlando City
1-3
AWAY Los Angeles FC
2.10 xG 2.22
62% Ball Possession 38%
20 Total Shots 12
1 Shots on Target 7
9 Corners 1
609 Passes 362
92% Pass Accuracy 86%
32 Box Touches 16
44 Crosses 5
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Orlando City vs Los Angeles FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Los Angeles FC beat Orlando City 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (35% / 27% / 38%) promised a tight game; Los Angeles FC found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Orlando City had 62% of the ball to Los Angeles FC's 38%, shots finished 20-12, expected goals 2.10 to 2.22.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Los Angeles FC led the recent series with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Orlando City and 2.75 for Los Angeles FC.

What was the final score of Orlando City vs Los Angeles FC?

Orlando City 1-3 Los Angeles FC in the USA - Major League on 16/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Orlando City vs Los Angeles FC?

Before kick-off our model rated an Los Angeles FC win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Orlando City 35%, draw 27%, Los Angeles FC 38%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Los Angeles FC) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Los Angeles FC) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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