Atlanta United 2-2 Houston Dynamo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Major League, 16 Jun 2024

Atlanta United
2-2 HT 1-1
Houston Dynamo
📅16/06/2024 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✓
USA - Major League – 2024

Atlanta United vs Houston Dynamo Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.05
Draw
28%
3.64
Away
29%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.29
Over 2.5
51%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.5
No
47%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
4.66
2-3 Goals
38%
1.91
4-5 Goals
25%
2.86
6+ Goals
11%
8.02
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
2.86
1/2
10%
28.5
1/X
5%
13.1
X/1
14%
5.0
X/2
9%
6.69
X/X
16%
5.63
2/1
7%
22.3
2/2
10%
4.28
2/X
7%
13.2
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
45%
-1.8pp
28%
Draw
24%
+3.8pp
29%
Away Win
31%
-2.0pp
49%
Under 2.5
40%
+9.2pp
51%
Over 2.5
60%
-9.2pp
53%
BTTS Yes
62%
-9.1pp
47%
BTTS No
38%
+9.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Atlanta United v Houston Dynamo — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atlanta United EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Houston Dynamo EU Bookmakers 34%
-4% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / +2%
1.54/1.25 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.10/1.47
+18% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% / +4%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
406 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 340 · 80%
23.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.2
19.3 Crosses 14.7
2.0 Yellow Cards 3.1

Atlanta United vs Houston Dynamo Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Atlanta United
2W-0D-1L
AWAY Houston Dynamo
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
2.38 xG 1.24
64% Ball Possession 36%
16 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
471 Passes 224
85% Pass Accuracy 73%
30 Box Touches 18
19 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
18.07.2019 Atlanta United Atlanta United 5-0 HT 2-0 Houston Dynamo Houston Dynamo ABD
03.03.2018 Houston Dynamo Houston Dynamo 4-0 HT 4-0 Atlanta United Atlanta United ABD
21.05.2017 Atlanta United Atlanta United 4-1 HT 2-0 Houston Dynamo Houston Dynamo ABD

Atlanta United 2-2 Houston Dynamo — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Atlanta United
2-2
AWAY Houston Dynamo
1.79 xG 1.48
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 19
5 Shots on Target 9
4 Corners 6
344 Passes 451
86% Pass Accuracy 90%
20 Box Touches 21
15 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Atlanta United vs Houston Dynamo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atlanta United and Houston Dynamo shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Atlanta United at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Atlanta United had 45% of the ball to Houston Dynamo's 55%, shots finished 12-19, expected goals 1.79 to 1.48.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Atlanta United had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 3.00 goals for Atlanta United and 1.67 for Houston Dynamo.

What was the final score of Atlanta United vs Houston Dynamo?

Atlanta United 2-2 Houston Dynamo in the USA - Major League on 16/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atlanta United vs Houston Dynamo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Atlanta United win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Atlanta United 43%, draw 28%, Houston Dynamo 29%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Atlanta United) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Atlanta United) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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