New England Revolution 3-2 Vancouver Whitecaps — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Major League, 16 Jun 2024

New England Revolution
3-2 HT 3-1
Vancouver Whitecaps
📅16/06/2024 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
USA - Major League – 2024

New England Revolution vs Vancouver Whitecaps Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.12
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
38%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
2.23
Over 2.5
45%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.5
No
52%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
4.69
2-3 Goals
38%
1.91
4-5 Goals
22%
2.85
6+ Goals
10%
7.96
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.69 — our 30% vs market 16.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
2.97
1/2
8%
28.5
1/X
6%
12.35
X/1
15%
5.23
X/2
14%
6.7
X/X
16%
5.38
2/1
6%
23.15
2/2
16%
4.2
2/X
6%
12.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
43%
-8.9pp
27%
Draw
26%
+1.7pp
38%
Away Win
31%
+7.2pp
55%
Under 2.5
41%
+13.9pp
45%
Over 2.5
59%
-13.9pp
48%
BTTS Yes
62%
-14.1pp
52%
BTTS No
38%
+14.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

New England Revolution v Vancouver Whitecaps — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME New England Revolution EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Vancouver Whitecaps EU Bookmakers 34%
-4% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +10%
1.63/1.21 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.29/1.05
-19% / +22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / +6%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
349 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 356 · 78%
25.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.5
21.2 Crosses 19.2
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.5

New England Revolution vs Vancouver Whitecaps Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME New England Revolution
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Vancouver Whitecaps
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.95 xG 2.17
51% Ball Possession 49%
16 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 5
336 Passes 318
78% Pass Accuracy 78%
26 Box Touches 21
20 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
27.06.2022 Vancouver Whitecaps Vancouver Whitecaps 0-0 HT 0-0 New England Revolution New England Revolution ABD
18.07.2019 New England Revolution New England Revolution 4-0 HT 1-0 Vancouver Whitecaps Vancouver Whitecaps ABD
27.05.2018 Vancouver Whitecaps Vancouver Whitecaps 3-3 HT 0-1 New England Revolution New England Revolution ABD
13.08.2017 New England Revolution New England Revolution 1-0 HT 0-0 Vancouver Whitecaps Vancouver Whitecaps ABD
19.06.2016 Vancouver Whitecaps Vancouver Whitecaps 1-2 HT 1-1 New England Revolution New England Revolution ABD
28.06.2015 New England Revolution New England Revolution 1-2 HT 0-2 Vancouver Whitecaps Vancouver Whitecaps ABD

New England Revolution 3-2 Vancouver Whitecaps — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME New England Revolution
3-2
AWAY Vancouver Whitecaps
1.01 xG 0.68
56% Ball Possession 44%
19 Total Shots 14
7 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 4
522 Passes 386
90% Pass Accuracy 88%
41 Box Touches 14
20 Crosses 24
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH New England Revolution vs Vancouver Whitecaps
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

New England Revolution nicked a narrow win over Vancouver Whitecaps 3-2. Half-time: 3-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (34% / 27% / 38%) promised a tight game; New England Revolution found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, New England Revolution had 56% of the ball to Vancouver Whitecaps's 44%, shots finished 19-14, expected goals 1.01 to 0.68.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, New England Revolution had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for New England Revolution and 1.00 for Vancouver Whitecaps.

What was the final score of New England Revolution vs Vancouver Whitecaps?

New England Revolution 3-2 Vancouver Whitecaps in the USA - Major League on 16/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for New England Revolution vs Vancouver Whitecaps?

Before kick-off our model rated an Vancouver Whitecaps win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split New England Revolution 34%, draw 27%, Vancouver Whitecaps 38%. The final score 3-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Vancouver Whitecaps) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
ABD More USA - Major League
16 Jun 2024
02:30 New York Red Bulls vs Nashville SC Analysis →
02:30 CF Montreal vs Real Salt Lake Analysis →
02:30 Atlanta United vs Houston Dynamo Analysis →
02:30 Charlotte vs DC United Analysis →
02:30 Toronto FC vs Chicago Fire Analysis →
02:30 Orlando City vs Los Angeles FC Analysis →