Charlotte 2-1 DC United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Major League, 17 Jul 2025

📅17/07/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.49
Draw
25%
4.08
Away
26%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.33
Over 2.5
56%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.68
No
45%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
4.67
2-3 Goals
39%
1.93
4-5 Goals
25%
2.77
6+ Goals
14%
7.44
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1.86
1/2
7%
35.0
1/X
7%
15.55
X/1
9%
4.21
X/2
8%
12.15
X/X
10%
6.7
2/1
7%
20.15
2/2
11%
9.28
2/X
8%
17.45
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
62%
-13.1pp
25%
Draw
21%
+3.9pp
26%
Away Win
17%
+9.2pp
44%
Under 2.5
39%
+4.8pp
56%
Over 2.5
61%
-4.8pp
55%
BTTS Yes
56%
-0.3pp
45%
BTTS No
44%
+0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Charlotte EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY DC United EU Bookmakers 21%
+11% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -3%
2.01/1.20 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.94/1.68
+14% / +21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / -5%
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
382 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 329 · 78%
25.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.1
16.2 Crosses 15.0
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Charlotte
3W-2D-1L
AWAY DC United
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.48 xG 0.97
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
372 Passes 378
81% Pass Accuracy 79%
25 Box Touches 20
21 Crosses 19
1 Yellow Cards 2
22.05.2025 DC United DC United 3-3 HT 1-0 Charlotte Charlotte ABDK
20.10.2024 DC United DC United 0-3 Charlotte Charlotte ABD
16.06.2024 Charlotte Charlotte 1-0 HT 1-0 DC United DC United ABD
17.09.2023 Charlotte Charlotte 0-0 HT 0-0 DC United DC United ABD
30.04.2023 DC United DC United 3-0 HT 1-0 Charlotte Charlotte ABD
04.08.2022 Charlotte Charlotte 3-0 HT 1-0 DC United DC United ABD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Charlotte
2-1
AWAY DC United
58% Ball Possession 42%
17 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 1
9 Corners 4
564 Passes 412
91% Pass Accuracy 90%
POST-MATCH Charlotte vs DC United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Charlotte nicked a narrow win over DC United 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Charlotte as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (55%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Charlotte had 58% of the ball to DC United's 42%, shots finished 17-11.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Charlotte had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Charlotte and 1.00 for DC United.

What was the final score of Charlotte vs DC United?

Charlotte 2-1 DC United in the USA - Major League on 17/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Charlotte vs DC United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Charlotte win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Charlotte 49%, draw 25%, DC United 26%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Charlotte), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Charlotte) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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