San Jose Earthquakes 2-2 FC Dallas — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Major League, 17 Jul 2025

📅17/07/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.57
Draw
24%
4.08
Away
29%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.59
Over 2.5
57%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.53
No
42%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
5.68
2-3 Goals
34%
2.05
4-5 Goals
27%
2.57
6+ Goals
16%
5.76
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1.94
1/2
6%
35.0
1/X EV+ ✗
10%
14.55
X/1
14%
4.46
X/2
9%
11.2
X/X
9%
7.08
2/1
8%
18.9
2/2
14%
7.84
2/X
5%
16.05
Value flag · 1/X at 14.55 — our 10% vs market 4.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
60%
-13.0pp
24%
Draw
21%
+3.1pp
29%
Away Win
19%
+10.0pp
43%
Under 2.5
35%
+8.4pp
57%
Over 2.5
65%
-8.4pp
58%
BTTS Yes
61%
-2.9pp
42%
BTTS No
39%
+2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME San Jose Earthquakes EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Dallas EU Bookmakers 22%
-9% / -21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +27%
1.71/1.15 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.35/1.51
-45% / +22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / +4%
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
400 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 354 · 81%
28.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.4
20.0 Crosses 12.1
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME San Jose Earthquakes
2W-3D-1L
AWAY FC Dallas
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.44 xG 1.05
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
372 Passes 426
82% Pass Accuracy 84%
21 Box Touches 26
16 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
26.06.2025 FC Dallas FC Dallas 2-4 HT 1-0 San Jose Earthquakes San Jose Earthquakes ABD
03.10.2024 San Jose Earthquakes San Jose Earthquakes 3-2 HT 1-1 FC Dallas FC Dallas ABD
25.02.2024 FC Dallas FC Dallas 2-1 HT 1-1 San Jose Earthquakes San Jose Earthquakes ABD
08.10.2023 FC Dallas FC Dallas 1-1 HT 0-1 San Jose Earthquakes San Jose Earthquakes ABD
28.05.2023 San Jose Earthquakes San Jose Earthquakes 1-1 HT 0-0 FC Dallas FC Dallas ABD
18.09.2022 San Jose Earthquakes San Jose Earthquakes 1-1 HT 1-1 FC Dallas FC Dallas ABD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME San Jose Earthquakes
2-2
AWAY FC Dallas
63% Ball Possession 37%
13 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
438 Passes 203
83% Pass Accuracy 66%
POST-MATCH San Jose Earthquakes vs FC Dallas
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

San Jose Earthquakes and FC Dallas couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was San Jose Earthquakes at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (58%) came in.

On the day, San Jose Earthquakes had 63% of the ball to FC Dallas's 37%, shots finished 13-13.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, San Jose Earthquakes had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for San Jose Earthquakes and 1.50 for FC Dallas.

What was the final score of San Jose Earthquakes vs FC Dallas?

San Jose Earthquakes 2-2 FC Dallas in the USA - Major League on 17/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for San Jose Earthquakes vs FC Dallas?

Before kick-off our model rated a San Jose Earthquakes win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split San Jose Earthquakes 46%, draw 24%, FC Dallas 29%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (San Jose Earthquakes) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (San Jose Earthquakes) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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