FC Dallas 2-4 San Jose Earthquakes — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Major League, 26 Jun 2025

📅26/06/2025 · 🕒05:05 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.38
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
38%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.51
Over 2.5
49%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.41
No
50%
2.67
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
5.34
2-3 Goals
40%
1.99
4-5 Goals
22%
2.55
6+ Goals
10%
5.91
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 5.34 — our 28% vs market 13.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
3.48
1/2
8%
23.75
1/X
9%
11.9
X/1
13%
6.28
X/2
13%
6.37
X/X
9%
5.85
2/1
10%
23.3
2/2
17%
3.56
2/X
7%
12.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
38%
-1.2pp
25%
Draw
26%
-0.6pp
38%
Away Win
36%
+1.9pp
51%
Under 2.5
36%
+15.0pp
49%
Over 2.5
64%
-15.0pp
50%
BTTS Yes
67%
-16.9pp
50%
BTTS No
33%
+16.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Dallas EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY San Jose Earthquakes EU Bookmakers 40%
+1% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +3%
1.29/1.06 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.51/1.17
-13% / +20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / +29%
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
315 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 384 · 84%
23.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.5
15.6 Crosses 16.6
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Dallas
2W-3D-1L
AWAY San Jose Earthquakes
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.17 xG 1.09
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
432 Passes 369
84% Pass Accuracy 82%
24 Box Touches 18
15 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
03.10.2024 San Jose Earthquakes San Jose Earthquakes 3-2 HT 1-1 FC Dallas FC Dallas ABD
25.02.2024 FC Dallas FC Dallas 2-1 HT 1-1 San Jose Earthquakes San Jose Earthquakes ABD
08.10.2023 FC Dallas FC Dallas 1-1 HT 0-1 San Jose Earthquakes San Jose Earthquakes ABD
28.05.2023 San Jose Earthquakes San Jose Earthquakes 1-1 HT 0-0 FC Dallas FC Dallas ABD
18.09.2022 San Jose Earthquakes San Jose Earthquakes 1-1 HT 1-1 FC Dallas FC Dallas ABD
14.08.2022 FC Dallas FC Dallas 4-1 HT 3-0 San Jose Earthquakes San Jose Earthquakes ABD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FC Dallas
2-4
AWAY San Jose Earthquakes
0.90 xG 2.66
34% Ball Possession 66%
10 Total Shots 24
8 Shots on Target 10
0 Corners 8
252 Passes 544
77% Pass Accuracy 88%
26 Box Touches 44
6 Crosses 29
0 Yellow Cards 3
FAQ FC Dallas vs San Jose Earthquakes
Match summary & frequently asked questions

San Jose Earthquakes beat FC Dallas 4-2 away from home in the USA - Major League on 26 Jun 2025. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, FC Dallas had 34% of the ball to San Jose Earthquakes's 66%, shots finished 10-24, expected goals 0.90 to 2.66.

Across their last 6 meetings in our records, FC Dallas have the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for FC Dallas and 1.33 for San Jose Earthquakes.

What was the final score of FC Dallas vs San Jose Earthquakes?

FC Dallas 2-4 San Jose Earthquakes in the USA - Major League on 26/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Dallas vs San Jose Earthquakes?

Before kick-off our model rated an San Jose Earthquakes win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split FC Dallas 37%, draw 25%, San Jose Earthquakes 38%. The final score 2-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (San Jose Earthquakes) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (San Jose Earthquakes) ✗ Under 2.5
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