Sporting Kansas City 2-1 Charlotte — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Major League, 26 Jun 2025

Sporting Kansas City
2-1 HT 0-1
Charlotte
📅26/06/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✓
USA - Major League – 2025

Sporting Kansas City vs Charlotte Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.33
Draw
24%
3.45
Away
37%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.29
Over 2.5
52%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.49
No
46%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
4.53
2-3 Goals
39%
1.89
4-5 Goals
22%
2.74
6+ Goals
13%
7.37
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
3.48
1/2
6%
25.0
1/X
6%
12.3
X/1
17%
6.0
X/2
14%
6.28
X/X
12%
5.52
2/1 EV+ ✓
7%
24.2
2/2
17%
3.73
2/X
6%
12.3
Value flag · 2/1 at 24.2 — our 7% vs market 2.1%. Landed.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
39%
-0.1pp
24%
Draw
26%
-1.4pp
37%
Away Win
36%
+1.5pp
48%
Under 2.5
40%
+7.8pp
52%
Over 2.5
60%
-7.8pp
54%
BTTS Yes
63%
-9.3pp
46%
BTTS No
37%
+9.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Sporting Kansas City v Charlotte — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sporting Kansas City EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Charlotte EU Bookmakers 39%
-5% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +7%
1.45/1.62 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.46/1.55
+17% / -25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / +44%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
361 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 367 · 80%
25.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.7
20.4 Crosses 14.4
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.8

Sporting Kansas City 2-1 Charlotte — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sporting Kansas City
2-1
AWAY Charlotte
52% Ball Possession 48%
19 Total Shots 20
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 4
379 Passes 342
88% Pass Accuracy 86%
POST-MATCH Sporting Kansas City vs Charlotte
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sporting Kansas City squeezed past Charlotte 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (39% / 24% / 37%) promised a tight game; Sporting Kansas City found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Sporting Kansas City had 52% of the ball to Charlotte's 48%, shots finished 19-20.

What was the final score of Sporting Kansas City vs Charlotte?

Sporting Kansas City 2-1 Charlotte in the USA - Major League on 26/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sporting Kansas City vs Charlotte?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sporting Kansas City win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Sporting Kansas City 39%, draw 24%, Charlotte 37%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sporting Kansas City), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Sporting Kansas City) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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