Minnesota United vs Houston Dynamo Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Minnesota United v Houston Dynamo — Team-Based Signals
Minnesota United vs Houston Dynamo Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-3
HT 0-2
Minnesota United
ABD
4-0
HT 1-0
Minnesota United
ABDK
1-0
HT 1-0
Houston Dynamo
ABD
Minnesota United 3-1 Houston Dynamo — Actual Match Statistics
Minnesota United got the better of Houston Dynamo 3-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Minnesota United as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.
On the day, Minnesota United had 36% of the ball to Houston Dynamo's 64%, shots finished 9-13, expected goals 1.36 to 1.14.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Houston Dynamo led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Minnesota United and 1.50 for Houston Dynamo.
What was the final score of Minnesota United vs Houston Dynamo?
Minnesota United 3-1 Houston Dynamo in the USA - Major League on 26/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Minnesota United vs Houston Dynamo?
Before kick-off our model rated a Minnesota United win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Minnesota United 43%, draw 29%, Houston Dynamo 29%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Minnesota United), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.