Toronto FC vs New York Red Bulls Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Toronto FC v New York Red Bulls — Team-Based Signals
Toronto FC vs New York Red Bulls Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
3-0
HT 1-0
Toronto FC
ABD
0-0
HT 0-0
New York Red Bulls
ABD
Toronto FC 1-1 New York Red Bulls — Actual Match Statistics
Toronto FC and New York Red Bulls couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.
We called this one close before kick-off — 31% / 29% / 40% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. On goals, under 2.5 goals (61%) landed while no to both teams scoring (62%) missed.
On the day, Toronto FC had 48% of the ball to New York Red Bulls's 52%, shots finished 13-8, expected goals 1.07 to 1.33.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, New York Red Bulls led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Toronto FC and 2.00 for New York Red Bulls.
What was the final score of Toronto FC vs New York Red Bulls?
Toronto FC 1-1 New York Red Bulls in the USA - Major League on 26/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Toronto FC vs New York Red Bulls?
Before kick-off our model rated an New York Red Bulls win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Toronto FC 31%, draw 29%, New York Red Bulls 40%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (New York Red Bulls), BTTS No went the other way.