New England Revolution 2-3 Nashville SC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Major League, 26 Jun 2025

📅26/06/2025 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.67
Draw
25%
3.28
Away
41%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.91
Over 2.5
52%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.68
No
45%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.29
2-3 Goals
43%
1.77
4-5 Goals
23%
3.34
6+ Goals
9%
12.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
4.31
1/2 EV+ ✗
9%
26.5
1/X
6%
13.1
X/1
9%
6.34
X/2
13%
5.4
X/X
11%
4.74
2/1
7%
30.5
2/2
19%
3.38
2/X
7%
12.85
Value flag · 1/2 at 26.5 — our 9% vs market 1.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
34%
+0.4pp
25%
Draw
27%
-2.5pp
41%
Away Win
39%
+2.0pp
48%
Under 2.5
48%
-0.2pp
52%
Over 2.5
52%
+0.2pp
55%
BTTS Yes
56%
-0.5pp
45%
BTTS No
44%
+0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME New England Revolution EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Nashville SC EU Bookmakers 43%
-1% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +20% / +20%
1.18/1.16 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.46/1.11
-28% / +17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / +103%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
352 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 316 · 78%
22.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.2
19.0 Crosses 17.9
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME New England Revolution
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Nashville SC
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
0.83 xG 1.48
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 18
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 8
392 Passes 408
84% Pass Accuracy 84%
19 Box Touches 24
20 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 1
23.02.2025 Nashville SC Nashville SC 0-0 HT 0-0 New England Revolution New England Revolution ABD
29.09.2024 New England Revolution New England Revolution 1-0 HT 0-0 Nashville SC Nashville SC ABD
07.08.2024 New England Revolution New England Revolution 1-1 HT 1-1 Nashville SC Nashville SC CONLK
02.06.2024 Nashville SC Nashville SC 1-2 HT 0-1 New England Revolution New England Revolution ABD
15.10.2023 Nashville SC Nashville SC 3-2 HT 3-0 New England Revolution New England Revolution ABD
19.03.2023 New England Revolution New England Revolution 1-0 HT 0-0 Nashville SC Nashville SC ABD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME New England Revolution
2-3
AWAY Nashville SC
1.29 xG 2.59
50% Ball Possession 50%
9 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
347 Passes 337
87% Pass Accuracy 84%
20 Box Touches 22
22 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH New England Revolution vs Nashville SC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nashville SC squeezed past New England Revolution 3-2 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Nashville SC as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. We had also flagged both teams to score (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, New England Revolution had 50% of the ball to Nashville SC's 50%, shots finished 9-15, expected goals 1.29 to 2.59 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Nashville SC's control.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, New England Revolution had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for New England Revolution and 0.83 for Nashville SC.

What was the final score of New England Revolution vs Nashville SC?

New England Revolution 2-3 Nashville SC in the USA - Major League on 26/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for New England Revolution vs Nashville SC?

Before kick-off our model rated an Nashville SC win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split New England Revolution 34%, draw 25%, Nashville SC 41%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Nashville SC), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Nashville SC) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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