Columbus Crew vs Atlanta United Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Columbus Crew v Atlanta United — Team-Based Signals
Columbus Crew vs Atlanta United Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
4-2
HT 3-1
Atlanta United
ABD
4-2
HT 2-1
Columbus Crew
ABD
2-0
HT 1-0
Atlanta United
ABD
1-1
HT 0-0
Columbus Crew
ABD
Columbus Crew 3-1 Atlanta United — Actual Match Statistics
Columbus Crew got the better of Atlanta United 3-1. Half-time: 3-0.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Columbus Crew as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.
On the day, Columbus Crew had 63% of the ball to Atlanta United's 37%, shots finished 19-9, expected goals 3.58 to 1.89.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Columbus Crew had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Columbus Crew and 1.50 for Atlanta United.
What was the final score of Columbus Crew vs Atlanta United?
Columbus Crew 3-1 Atlanta United in the USA - Major League on 26/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Columbus Crew vs Atlanta United?
Before kick-off our model rated a Columbus Crew win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Columbus Crew 45%, draw 28%, Atlanta United 27%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Columbus Crew), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.