Chicago Fire vs Philadelphia Union Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Chicago Fire v Philadelphia Union — Team-Based Signals
Chicago Fire vs Philadelphia Union Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-2
HT 1-0
Philadelphia Union
ABD
1-0
HT 0-0
Chicago Fire
ABD
4-1
HT 2-0
Chicago Fire
ABD
1-0
HT 0-0
Philadelphia Union
ABD
Chicago Fire 0-1 Philadelphia Union — Actual Match Statistics
Philadelphia Union squeezed past Chicago Fire 1-0 away from home.
Our pre-match lean was Chicago Fire at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Chicago Fire had 55% of the ball to Philadelphia Union's 45%, shots finished 15-11, expected goals 1.03 to 1.31.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Chicago Fire and 2.00 for Philadelphia Union.
What was the final score of Chicago Fire vs Philadelphia Union?
Chicago Fire 0-1 Philadelphia Union in the USA - Major League on 26/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Chicago Fire vs Philadelphia Union?
Before kick-off our model rated a Chicago Fire win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Chicago Fire 44%, draw 25%, Philadelphia Union 30%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.