Chicago Fire vs Philadelphia Union Prediction — Model Probabilities
Chicago Fire v Philadelphia Union — Team-Based Signals
Chicago Fire vs Philadelphia Union Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Chicago Fire 0-1 Philadelphia Union — Actual Match Statistics
Philadelphia Union squeezed past Chicago Fire 1-0 away from home.
A gentle 51% lean on Chicago Fire didn't survive contact with the match; margins like that flip all the time. The one blemish: over 2.5 goals (65%), both teams to score (63%) never looked like landing.
Under the surface, Chicago Fire had 55% of the ball to Philadelphia Union's 45%, shots finished 15-11, expected goals 1.03 to 1.31.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Chicago Fire and 2.00 for Philadelphia Union.
Chicago Fire vs Philadelphia Union Result & Final Score
Chicago Fire 0 - 1 Philadelphia Union in the USA - Major League on 26/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Chicago Fire vs Philadelphia Union Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Chicago Fire win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Chicago Fire 51%, draw 23%, Philadelphia Union 26%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.