Chicago Fire vs Philadelphia Union Prediction — Model Probabilities
Chicago Fire v Philadelphia Union — Team-Based Signals
Chicago Fire vs Philadelphia Union Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Chicago Fire 4-3 Philadelphia Union — Actual Match Statistics
Chicago Fire squeezed past Philadelphia Union 4-3. From 1-2 down at the break, the game flipped completely after half-time. With 7 goals, entertainment was never the problem.
The way our numbers pointed is the way it went: our model had Chicago Fire as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 4-3 landed on that lead. Nothing to argue with on goals either — over 2.5 goals (60%), both teams to score (59%) came home.
Under the surface, Philadelphia Union saw more of the ball, 53% to 47%, shots finished 18-12, expected goals 3.21 to 1.35 — on chances created, Chicago Fire won this by more than the scoreboard admits.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Philadelphia Union led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.17 a game for Chicago Fire against 1.67 for Philadelphia Union.
Chicago Fire vs Philadelphia Union Result & Final Score
Chicago Fire 4 - 3 Philadelphia Union in the USA - Major League on 04/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Chicago Fire vs Philadelphia Union Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Chicago Fire win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Chicago Fire 47%, draw 24%, Philadelphia Union 28%. The final score 4-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Chicago Fire), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.