San Jose Earthquakes vs FC Dallas Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
San Jose Earthquakes v FC Dallas — Team-Based Signals
San Jose Earthquakes vs FC Dallas Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-1
HT 0-1
San Jose Earthquakes
ABD
1-1
HT 0-0
FC Dallas
ABD
1-1
HT 1-1
FC Dallas
ABD
4-1
HT 3-0
San Jose Earthquakes
ABD
1-1
HT 1-1
FC Dallas
ABD
San Jose Earthquakes 3-2 FC Dallas — Actual Match Statistics
San Jose Earthquakes nicked a narrow win over FC Dallas 3-2. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 25% / 37% — and on the day San Jose Earthquakes made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (55%) came in.
On the day, San Jose Earthquakes had 40% of the ball to FC Dallas's 60%, shots finished 9-16, expected goals 2.05 to 1.39.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, FC Dallas led the recent series with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for San Jose Earthquakes and 1.67 for FC Dallas.
What was the final score of San Jose Earthquakes vs FC Dallas?
San Jose Earthquakes 3-2 FC Dallas in the USA - Major League on 03/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for San Jose Earthquakes vs FC Dallas?
Before kick-off our model rated a San Jose Earthquakes win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split San Jose Earthquakes 38%, draw 25%, FC Dallas 37%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (San Jose Earthquakes), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.