Minnesota United 0-1 Los Angeles FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Major League, 17 Jul 2025

📅17/07/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.27
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
36%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.97
Over 2.5
47%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.63
No
50%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
31%
3.57
2-3 Goals
36%
1.81
4-5 Goals
21%
3.25
6+ Goals
12%
11.45
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.57 — our 31% vs market 22.3%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
3.48
1/2
6%
28.5
1/X
9%
13.1
X/1
10%
5.51
X/2
16%
6.07
X/X
10%
4.96
2/1
5%
26.5
2/2
15%
4.04
2/X
7%
13.3
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
40%
-2.4pp
26%
Draw
26%
-0.7pp
36%
Away Win
34%
+3.0pp
53%
Under 2.5
47%
+6.2pp
47%
Over 2.5
53%
-6.2pp
50%
BTTS Yes
57%
-7.6pp
50%
BTTS No
43%
+7.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Minnesota United EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Los Angeles FC EU Bookmakers 37%
-5% / -23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -1%
1.68/1.26 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.52/1.58
+2% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / -10%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
310 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 353 · 80%
26.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.6
18.8 Crosses 14.3
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Minnesota United
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Los Angeles FC
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.14 xG 1.82
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
302 Passes 403
78% Pass Accuracy 82%
22 Box Touches 27
18 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 1
23.02.2025 Los Angeles FC Los Angeles FC 1-0 HT 0-0 Minnesota United Minnesota United ABD
30.05.2024 Los Angeles FC Los Angeles FC 2-0 HT 1-0 Minnesota United Minnesota United ABD
17.03.2024 Minnesota United Minnesota United 2-0 HT 1-0 Los Angeles FC Los Angeles FC ABD
05.10.2023 Los Angeles FC Los Angeles FC 5-1 HT 3-1 Minnesota United Minnesota United ABD
16.07.2023 Minnesota United Minnesota United 1-1 HT 1-1 Los Angeles FC Los Angeles FC ABD
14.09.2022 Minnesota United Minnesota United 1-1 HT 1-0 Los Angeles FC Los Angeles FC ABD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Minnesota United
0-1
AWAY Los Angeles FC
55% Ball Possession 45%
10 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 6
10 Corners 3
432 Passes 377
85% Pass Accuracy 88%
POST-MATCH Minnesota United vs Los Angeles FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Los Angeles FC nicked a narrow win over Minnesota United 1-0 away from home.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 26% / 36% — and on the day Los Angeles FC made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Minnesota United had 55% of the ball to Los Angeles FC's 45%, shots finished 10-7.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Los Angeles FC led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Minnesota United and 1.67 for Los Angeles FC.

What was the final score of Minnesota United vs Los Angeles FC?

Minnesota United 0-1 Los Angeles FC in the USA - Major League on 17/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Minnesota United vs Los Angeles FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Minnesota United win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Minnesota United 38%, draw 26%, Los Angeles FC 36%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Minnesota United) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Minnesota United) ✓ Under 2.5
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