Philadelphia Union vs CF Montreal Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Philadelphia Union v CF Montreal — Team-Based Signals
Philadelphia Union vs CF Montreal Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
3-0
HT 2-0
CF Montreal
ABD
3-2
HT 1-0
Philadelphia Union
ABD
Philadelphia Union 2-1 CF Montreal — Actual Match Statistics
Philadelphia Union nicked a narrow win over CF Montreal 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As we said in the preview, our model had Philadelphia Union as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.
On the day, Philadelphia Union had 59% of the ball to CF Montreal's 41%, shots finished 17-11, expected goals 1.58 to 1.55.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Philadelphia Union had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Philadelphia Union and 1.67 for CF Montreal.
What was the final score of Philadelphia Union vs CF Montreal?
Philadelphia Union 2-1 CF Montreal in the USA - Major League on 17/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Philadelphia Union vs CF Montreal?
Before kick-off our model rated a Philadelphia Union win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Philadelphia Union 56%, draw 23%, CF Montreal 21%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Philadelphia Union), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.