FC Cincinnati 3-0 Inter Miami — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Major League, 17 Jul 2025

📅17/07/2025 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.46
Draw
25%
3.64
Away
37%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.59
Over 2.5
55%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.41
No
43%
2.67
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
5.61
2-3 Goals
38%
2.04
4-5 Goals
26%
2.58
6+ Goals
14%
5.86
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
3.61
1/2
7%
22.45
1/X
8%
12.45
X/1
14%
6.38
X/2
15%
6.09
X/X
11%
6.12
2/1
12%
23.75
2/2
15%
3.35
2/X
6%
12.35
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
37%
+1.5pp
25%
Draw
24%
+0.5pp
37%
Away Win
39%
-2.0pp
45%
Under 2.5
35%
+10.1pp
55%
Over 2.5
65%
-10.1pp
57%
BTTS Yes
67%
-9.8pp
43%
BTTS No
33%
+9.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Cincinnati EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Inter Miami EU Bookmakers 43%
-21% / -21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +17%
1.21/1.27 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.43/1.61
-7% / -25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +48% / -10%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
366 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 363 · 81%
21.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.5
15.6 Crosses 11.9
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Cincinnati
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Inter Miami
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
2.14 xG 1.18
46% Ball Possession 54%
16 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
389 Passes 466
84% Pass Accuracy 85%
31 Box Touches 20
12 Crosses 13
3 Yellow Cards 2
25.08.2024 Inter Miami Inter Miami 2-0 HT 2-0 FC Cincinnati FC Cincinnati ABD
07.07.2024 FC Cincinnati FC Cincinnati 6-1 HT 4-1 Inter Miami Inter Miami ABD
08.10.2023 Inter Miami Inter Miami 0-1 HT 0-0 FC Cincinnati FC Cincinnati ABD
24.08.2023 FC Cincinnati FC Cincinnati 3-3 HT 1-0 Inter Miami Inter Miami ABDK
02.04.2023 FC Cincinnati FC Cincinnati 1-0 HT 1-0 Inter Miami Inter Miami ABD
31.07.2022 Inter Miami Inter Miami 4-4 HT 3-2 FC Cincinnati FC Cincinnati ABD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FC Cincinnati
3-0
AWAY Inter Miami
1.33 xG 0.95
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 2
1 Corners 4
403 Passes 509
85% Pass Accuracy 86%
22 Box Touches 17
5 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH FC Cincinnati vs Inter Miami
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Cincinnati cruised past Inter Miami 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (38% / 25% / 37%) promised a tight game; FC Cincinnati found the edge the numbers couldn't. On goals, over 2.5 goals (55%) landed while both teams to score (57%) missed.

On the day, FC Cincinnati had 44% of the ball to Inter Miami's 56%, shots finished 11-10, expected goals 1.33 to 0.95.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, FC Cincinnati had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for FC Cincinnati and 1.67 for Inter Miami.

What was the final score of FC Cincinnati vs Inter Miami?

FC Cincinnati 3-0 Inter Miami in the USA - Major League on 17/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Cincinnati vs Inter Miami?

Before kick-off our model rated a FC Cincinnati win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split FC Cincinnati 38%, draw 25%, Inter Miami 37%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FC Cincinnati), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (FC Cincinnati) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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