CF Montreal vs Philadelphia Union Prediction — Model Probabilities
CF Montreal v Philadelphia Union — Team-Based Signals
CF Montreal vs Philadelphia Union Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
CF Montreal 1-2 Philadelphia Union — Actual Match Statistics
Philadelphia Union nicked a narrow win over CF Montreal 2-1 on their travels. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
From a near-even 35% / 30% / 35% read, it was Philadelphia Union who turned the coin-flip their way.
Neither goals market gave much away — over 2.5 sat at 48% and both teams to score at 53%.
The match data tells the story: possession split 59% to 41% in CF Montreal's favour, shots finished 12-9, expected goals 1.25 to 0.96.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.67 a game for CF Montreal against 2.00 for Philadelphia Union.
CF Montreal vs Philadelphia Union Result & Final Score
CF Montreal 1 - 2 Philadelphia Union in the USA - Major League on 04/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
CF Montreal vs Philadelphia Union Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a CF Montreal win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split CF Montreal 35%, draw 30%, Philadelphia Union 35%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.