Columbus Crew 4-2 Charlotte — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Major League, 4 May 2025

Columbus Crew
4-2 HT 2-1
Charlotte
📅04/05/2025 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✗
USA - Major League – 2025

Columbus Crew vs Charlotte Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.66
Draw
25%
3.72
Away
26%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.18
Over 2.5
49%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.66
No
50%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
4.12
2-3 Goals
38%
1.85
4-5 Goals
23%
2.88
6+ Goals
10%
8.48
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.12 — our 29% vs market 18.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
2.14
1/2
5%
35.0
1/X
5%
13.7
X/1 EV+ ✗
23%
4.47
X/2
9%
10.1
X/X
13%
5.76
2/1
7%
21.35
2/2
13%
7.48
2/X
7%
15.2
Value flag · X/1 at 4.47 — our 23% vs market 17.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
56%
-7.4pp
25%
Draw
23%
+2.1pp
26%
Away Win
21%
+5.4pp
51%
Under 2.5
42%
+8.5pp
49%
Over 2.5
58%
-8.5pp
50%
BTTS Yes
56%
-6.7pp
50%
BTTS No
44%
+6.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Columbus Crew v Charlotte — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Columbus Crew EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Charlotte EU Bookmakers 24%
+0% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +5%
1.62/1.13 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.93/1.50
+3% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / -1%
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
458 · 86% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 322 · 81%
27.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.2
17.9 Crosses 17.2
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.6

Columbus Crew vs Charlotte Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Columbus Crew
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Charlotte
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.29 xG 1.51
58% Ball Possession 42%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 3
463 Passes 316
85% Pass Accuracy 81%
29 Box Touches 24
15 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
18.07.2024 Columbus Crew Columbus Crew 1-1 HT 1-0 Charlotte Charlotte ABD
24.03.2024 Charlotte Charlotte 2-0 HT 0-0 Columbus Crew Columbus Crew ABD
04.06.2023 Columbus Crew Columbus Crew 4-2 HT 3-0 Charlotte Charlotte ABD
23.04.2023 Charlotte Charlotte 1-0 HT 1-0 Columbus Crew Columbus Crew ABD
06.10.2022 Charlotte Charlotte 2-2 HT 0-1 Columbus Crew Columbus Crew ABD
19.06.2022 Columbus Crew Columbus Crew 1-1 HT 1-0 Charlotte Charlotte ABD

Columbus Crew 4-2 Charlotte — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Columbus Crew
4-2
AWAY Charlotte
2.65 xG 1.92
58% Ball Possession 42%
16 Total Shots 9
11 Shots on Target 3
9 Corners 3
580 Passes 403
91% Pass Accuracy 88%
31 Box Touches 25
18 Crosses 9
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Columbus Crew vs Charlotte
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Columbus Crew saw off Charlotte 4-2. Half-time: 2-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Columbus Crew as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Columbus Crew had 58% of the ball to Charlotte's 42%, shots finished 16-9, expected goals 2.65 to 1.92.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Charlotte led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Columbus Crew and 1.50 for Charlotte.

What was the final score of Columbus Crew vs Charlotte?

Columbus Crew 4-2 Charlotte in the USA - Major League on 04/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Columbus Crew vs Charlotte?

Before kick-off our model rated a Columbus Crew win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Columbus Crew 48%, draw 25%, Charlotte 26%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Columbus Crew) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Columbus Crew) ✗ Under 2.5
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